By on July 2, 2009

The way it looks, China will severely trounce the USA as the world’s largest auto market in 2009. From January to June, Americans bought 4.8m units, a drop of 35.1 percent. China had sold more a month earlier.

From January through May, Chinese had already bought nearly 5m units, up 14.29 percent from a year earlier. The first six month number in China hasn’t been released, but it is expected to be at around 6m, Gasgoo says. For the year, Chinas industry association CAAM (conservatively) expects sales slightly above 10m. China’s trend is up, while the US is still hemorrhaging.  What’s more, with around 40 cars (nobody knows for sure) per 1000 Chinese, China is still at the beginning of mass motorization. The US is awash in cars, with around 800 cars per 1000.

Get the latest TTAC e-Newsletter!

Recommended

25 Comments on “China World’s Largest Car Market in First Half of 2009...”


  • avatar
    AKM

    What isn’t large is the models on the pic. Eat a cheese sandwich, dammit!

  • avatar
    MrBostn

    The one in front keeps staring at me..I think she like me.

  • avatar
    Strippo

    Actually, those girls aren’t exactly anorexic. They’re just tiny.

  • avatar

    After spending ages in zaftig Germany and obese America, I kinda like them that way.

  • avatar
    twotone

    Nice headlights!

  • avatar
    FloorIt

    Auto Erotica.
    Back to the topic, the article says China sales up 14.29 percent compared to a year earlier but profit was down in Q1. “Subsidies can not sustain demand for a long time.” Same goes for the USA, as incentives have shown.
    If China sales continue upward, and the USA sales picks up even a little, $3.50 gas by Oct. may be likely due to increase demand.

  • avatar
    wsn

    I don’t know for these two girls. But typical female models in China that work for car shows or ceremonies are between 5’10” and 6″. They are not obese, and they are not tiny.

  • avatar
    ZoomZoom

    (I made a comment to another member…but his comment appears to have been deleted, so I’ve redacted mine)

    To the main subject. Even just a year ago, nobody I know would have expected that the Chinese market could overcome the US market. Except maybe some here on TTAC.

    My… how times change.

  • avatar
    blowfish

    Just read from Ming Pao newspaper, some 5 stars hotel do hire gals to pretend that they are guests to swim in their hotel pools.
    Their jobs are suppose to attract singel male customers.

    Will someone call Ms Heid Fleiss quick, to help out her Chpt 11 in recent times.

    And how about the side winder building in Shanghai.
    Sadly it took a worker with her.

    It gave a new meaning to Horizontal position. and river view.
    At least they can achieve that in a hurry what Tower of Pizza cannot do in few hundred years.

  • avatar
    beken

    With the population of China being roughly 10 times that of the USA, it would seem natural that the quickly developing Chinese economy should be a larger market than the USA. My American neighbors now know what Canada (roughly 1/10th the population of the USA) feels like.

    It’s been a tough adjustment, hasn’t it?

  • avatar
    Kevin

    For what it’s worth, that China numbers cited here include large commercial vehicles, trucks, and buses; while the U.S. number cited here does not.

    The China number given here is not a count of “cars”, it’s a count of “vehicles with 4 or more wheels”.

    FWIW. I point this out. No one cares. We’ll do the same next month. Whatever.

    And Beken, the China population is not 10X that of USA. China has 1.3 billion, USA has 300 million.

  • avatar
    Davekaybsc

    They really aren’t that skinny for models. When their thighs are the same size as their calves, that’s too skinny.

  • avatar
    Lorenzo

    Beken:
    China has a lot of people, but not 3 billion ( that’s ten times America’s 305 million.) The ratio is closer to 4:1.

    The numbers reported for a country with a rudimentary banking system and no tradition of credit seems kind of high. Just how reliable ARE the Chinese numbers? I also wonder why the goverment hasn’t encouraged the Chinese equivalent of the model T or VW bug, or have they? Do the numbers include very basic cars not shown at the auto shows?

  • avatar
    wsn

    Lorenzo :
    July 2nd, 2009 at 4:34 pm

    The numbers reported for a country with a rudimentary banking system and no tradition of credit seems kind of high. Just how reliable ARE the Chinese numbers? I also wonder why the goverment hasn’t encouraged the Chinese equivalent of the model T or VW bug, or have they? Do the numbers include very basic cars not shown at the auto shows?

    ———————————————-

    1) These numbers are quite reliable. There is no real incentive to over state it.

    2) The earlier VW Santana (in the 80s~90s) was the Chinese equivalent of the model T or VW bug.

    3) The JV’s (VW, Honda, GM, etc) got such powerful allies that truly native Chinese auto makers such as Geely got depressed. Chinese domestic non-state owned auto makers must pay a higher tax rate than JV’s up to a couple years back.

  • avatar
    mpresley

    My wife is Chinese–that’s just the way they are–if you’re looking for a tall blond, China’s not the stop. But whatever ones taste, it’s worth a visit. Here’s a short summary of Shenzhen City, across the bay from HK:

    The women take cute to a new level, however the guys mostly show up with bad haircuts. Everyone wears white socks. They like cars–especially expensive German brands. If you drive an Audi or a Mercedes, the girls smile. But that’s probably the same, anywhere. At the same time, you’d be nuts to drive in ANY large Chinese city.

    I’m not sure it’s all coming from the cars, but the next time Al Gore complains about US auto emissions, tell him to visit Guangzhou.

    Public transportation is plentiful, bus lieutenants wear cute stewardess uniforms (everyone in public service wears uniforms), and they can amaze with their ability to keep track of who gets on and off w/o paying. Whatever you do, don’t pay using counterfeit yuan, or the bus lieutenant will stop the bus, call for the police, and there will be trouble. Buses are usually cheap to ride and generally on time, but sometimes have a tendency to blow up in awful conflagrations, so it’s best to sit/stand near the door, if you can.

    Buick is a desirable car, so the General has that going for it, while every other car seems to be a VW Quantum-like taxi. Chinese generally don’t like Japanese (it’s the history), but history is easily forgotten if they can afford a Toyota.

    You can eat for next to nothing, but just don’t ask what. Whatever it is, it’s not fried rice and/or sweet and sour pork, that much is certain. The good news: they mostly like Americans–a plus for us, once they take over the world. Somehow, I see a Buick in our future.

  • avatar
    rpn453

    I’m just surprised that a girl that thin could have such a prominent innie!

  • avatar
    educatordan

    Leave the models alone! They look fine to me! But then my girlfriend traces her ancestors through Navajo, Japanese, Spanish, and Hopi bloodlines.

    I think we would be idiots in the US to not assume that the Chinese and Indians will end up buying more cars than us.

  • avatar
    seatiger

    Booth Babes Rule!

    Shame they are being outlawed in the US…

    http://www.wired.com/science/discoveries/news/2006/01/70075

  • avatar
    King Bojack

    We’ve given China all of our money, of course they’re going to run around buying everything they can.

  • avatar
    don1967

    I enjoy a good off-topic chat as much as the next guy, especially when it involves cute girls. But the lack of interest being shown here in such a profound topic is very revealing.

    Chinese cars and Chinese car buyers are poised to become the major force in the auto biz in the coming years, and yet the average North American (and possibly European too) is sleepwalking right off the cliff.

    If you think GM and Chrysler filing for C11 is big news, just wait until the Toyota Death Watch starts, and Hyundai identifies the Chinese as the biggest threat to its #1 position in the market.

    I’m not making judgment calls on cars here, just calling it as I see it.

  • avatar
    Strippo

    I’m just surprised that a girl that thin could have such a prominent innie!

    Exactly. That’s how you can tell she’s tiny but not emaciated.

  • avatar
    CarnotCycle

    I can only imagine China will be buying more and more cars in the future. It makes sense, considering there is no way to go but up. I am guessing there is also some cushion on the numbers given that pretty much all of China’s auto sales I would guess are for new rides. Not a very well established used car market in a country where everyone was on bicycles in the eighties.

    The next phase for this is whether or not China’s car business can play in the world market. I don’t mean in the context of selling rides overseas, but in things like industry standards regarding intellectual property, joint deals, that type of thing. It is interesting to note the complete lack of a Russian auto-maker (or vehicle maker of any kind, barring military machinery) emerging on the international scene. The Russians have pretty much knee-capped their own manufacturing sector – export and otherwise – with the way they do business.

    If times get tough for the elites – either politically or financially – in China, they could revert to the same techniques, with the same results. That’s about the only risk I see for them on their way to world-class though.

  • avatar

    Kevin:

    For what it’s worth, that China numbers cited here include large commercial vehicles, trucks, and buses; while the U.S. number cited here does not.

    Careful, if we would deduct what qualifies as “truck” from the U.S. count, America would look like a third world country,

  • avatar
    don1967

    CarnotCycle,

    You’ve nailed a number of China’s challenges right on the head.

    It will likely take them only 3-5 years to improve product safety and reliability to some acceptable world standard, and to graduate beyond the copycat phase. When those barriers come down, watch out Ford, Toyota, etc.

    The ultimate wild card is their own political system. How long can they successfully hold the communist hammer over a burgeoning capitalism? It’s hard to imagine this as anything but a powder keg just waiting to go off.

  • avatar
    rx8totheendoftime

    the nicest belly button seen on TTAC ever!…better than one of the circles in the Audi trademark…hey, there’s an idea for a new Chinese car trademark, can’t you just see that belly button on a Chinese car, like the Mercedes star, the Honda H?

    And the car would be called…the Innee

Read all comments

Back to TopLeave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.

Recent Comments

  • Lou_BC: @Carlson Fan – My ’68 has 2.75:1 rear end. It buries the speedo needle. It came stock with the...
  • theflyersfan: Inside the Chicago Loop and up Lakeshore Drive rivals any great city in the world. The beauty of the...
  • A Scientist: When I was a teenager in the mid 90’s you could have one of these rolling s-boxes for a case of...
  • Mike Beranek: You should expand your knowledge base, clearly it’s insufficient. The race isn’t in...
  • Mike Beranek: ^^THIS^^ Chicago is FOX’s whipping boy because it makes Illinois a progressive bastion in the...

New Car Research

Get a Free Dealer Quote

Who We Are

  • Adam Tonge
  • Bozi Tatarevic
  • Corey Lewis
  • Jo Borras
  • Mark Baruth
  • Ronnie Schreiber