| Rank | Analyst | GM | Ford | Chrysler | SAAR | SAAR Diff | OEM Diff | Overall |
| 1 | Jessica Caldwell (Edmunds.com) | -5.0% | 18.0% | 32.0% | 14.4 | 4.64% | 18.15% | 22.79% |
| 2 | Brian Johnson (Barclays Capital) | -3.6% | 7.1% | 32.0% | 14.3 | 5.30% | 20.34% | 25.64% |
| 3 | Jesse Toprak (TrueCar.com) | -6.1% | 14.0% | 27.0% | 14.3 | 5.30% | 20.94% | 26.24% |
| 4 | Patrick Archambault (Goldman Sachs) | -2.6% | 11.0% | 26.0% | 14.3 | 5.30% | 21.44% | 26.74% |
| 5 | Peter Nesvold (Jefferies) | -5.9% | 13.0% | 27.0% | 14.2 | 5.96% | 21.74% | 27.70% |
| 6 | Emmanuel Rosner (CLSA) | -3.9% | 5.6% | 25.0% | 14.5 | 3.97% | 29.14% | 33.12% |
| 7 | Joseph Spak (RBC) | -5.2% | 8.0% | 24.0% | 14.1 | 6.62% | 29.04% | 35.67% |
| 8 | Rod Lache (Deutsche Bank) | -4.0% | 8.7% | 22.0% | 14.1 | 6.62% | 29.14% | 35.77% |
| 9 | Alec Gutierrez (Kelley Blue Book) | -5.8% | 5.6% | 25.0% | 13.8 | 8.61% | 31.04% | 39.65% |
| 10 | Chris Ceraso (Credit Suisse) | -5.6% | 3.4% | 22.0% | 14.1 | 6.62% | 36.04% | 42.67% |
| 11 | Adam Jonas (Morgan Stanley) | NA | NA | NA | 14.3 | 5.30% | 300.00% | 305.30% |
| 12 | Matthew Stover (Guggenheim) | NA | NA | NA | 14.3 | 5.30% | 300.00% | 305.30% |
| 13 | Himanshu Patel (JPMorgan) | NA | NA | NA | 14.2 | 5.96% | 300.00% | 305.96% |
| 14 | Itay Michaeli (Citigroup) | NA | NA | NA | 14.2 | 5.96% | 300.00% | 305.96% |
| 15 | Alan Baum (Baum & Associates) | NA | NA | NA | 14.0 | 7.28% | 300.00% | 307.28% |
| 16 | Jeff Schuster (LMC Automotive) | NA | NA | NA | 14.0 | 7.28% | 300.00% | 307.28% |
| 17 | George Magliano (IHS Automotive) | NA | NA | NA | 13.8 | 8.61% | 300.00% | 308.61% |
| Average | -4.8% | 9.4% | 26.0% | 14.2 | ||||
| Actual | 1.1% | 14.3% | 40.4% | 15.1 |
The strong February was good news for the car industry, bad news for the analysts. Even the most optimistic prognosis could not withstand the mad February rush to buying cars.
February ended with a Seasonally Adjusted Average Rate (SAAR) of 15.1 million, something the world had not seen since carmageddon. Even the most optimistic analyst (and the winner of the February round of Grade The Analysts) would predict only 14.4 million. (Read More…)
Of all the crazy ideas to come out of Dearborn in the 1960s, the Breezeway option on big Mercury cars is one of my favorites. You had a rear-canted back window that rolled up and down, providing a hurricane of wind through the car at speed, and no doubt enhancing the passengers’ intake of Vitamin CO. It made no sense, but so what? Not surprisingly, mid-60s Montereys and Park Lanes (the Mercury-ized Ford Galaxie), aren’t worth much in beat condition these days (nice ones are another story), but I still wasn’t expecting to find this one in a Northern California wrecking yard last month. 


I’ve been harvesting car clocks at junkyards for a few years now, stockpiling them for a project that requires at least two dozen functioning timepieces. Here’s one of the prizes of my collection. Believe it or not, this elderly mechanical clock, from a country not known for reliable machinery, still works! So, guess the year/make/model of the car that yielded this fine clock for my collection, then make the jump to see if you were right. 







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