Posts By: Bertel Schmitt

By on November 24, 2009

Not so fast. Picture courtesy Chinadaily.com.cn

Think the US is drowning in cheap Chinese goods? Think again. Production is rapidly going South. According to corporate consultant AlixPartners, Mexico has leapfrogged China to be ranked as the cheapest country in the world for companies looking to manufacture products for the U.S. market. India is now No. 2, followed by China and then Brazil.

A number of Chinese car manufacturers have tried to use NAFTA’s soft underbelly as an entry into North America. Zhongxing, FAW, Geely, ChangAn and more announced plans to Hecho en México. One by one, they have been shelving the plans. Cheap production is one thing. Lack of customers another. This summer, FAW cancelled plans for a Mexican manufacturing plant. Before, Geely and Zhongxing had said “bu hao” and packed up.

China’s ChangAn was thought to have the most robust stomach for Mexican food. Looks like they also lost their appetite.
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By on November 24, 2009

He looks alive. Picture courtesy zarathoestra.files.wordpress.com

Think everything will be hunky-dory by, well, 2012? (Watch the  movie.) Fitch Ratings thinks the U.S. auto industry won’t get back on its feet anytime soon. Worse, the industry may be caught in an “airline-style” cycle of repetitive bankruptcies because of weak sales and a glut of production capacity. It is unusual for a U.S. airline (and many elsewhere) to not be in bankruptcy or not have been at some point.

Amongst the rating agencies, Fitch is the only halfway good one. They were the lone voice that had warned against the dangers of the collateralized debt obligations that brought the world to the brink of disaster.

In a report cited by Reuters, Fitch says that high fixed costs, the lengthy periods required to develop new products and chronic overcapacity will leave the industry “littered with failures—plants, product lines, brands and companies.”
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By on November 23, 2009

Booth babe co-efficient high. Picture courtesy Chinadaily.com.cn

China’s car sales can’t go on forever growing at a 50 percent to sometimes 100 percent clip, auto execs agree at the Guangzhou auto show. All are convinced that the growth will continue next year at a more – what’s the buzzword?- sustainable rate.

The Guangzhou auto show opened today. In case you’ve never heard of Guangzhou, it is a city of around 10m (nobody knows for sure,) and the main manufacturing hub of the Pearl River delta. Formerly known as Canton. About 30 percent of China’s GDP is produced in the South. The opening of the show prompted some major announcements. Here are some of them:
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By on November 22, 2009

Fiat is facing a new distraction. While Sergio Marchionne has worldwide plans with zombie Chrysler, Fiat is facing an insurrection at home. Well, close to home. The German dealer council of Fiat has unanimously decided to sue Fiat Germany.

Two actions by Fiat raised the dealers’ ire:
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By on November 21, 2009

rollschina

“Rolls-Royce said Friday the market for its super-luxury cars was picking up dramatically across Asia as the effects of the global financial crisis recede,” says AFP.

“We’re fast coming out of the financial crisis and China and India look like they will lead the way out in 2010 on a feel-good factor,” quoth Rolls-Royce Asia-Pacific regional chief Colin Kelly.

Rolls-Royce expects sales in the alleged poorhouses of China and India to grow to three-quarters of its total business in the Asia-Pacific region.
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By on November 21, 2009

Pantera, the real one

Former Lancia CEO Gianmario Rossignolo has bought the De Tomaso trademark, says Der KFZ-Betrieb in Germany. In a former Pininfarina plant near Torino, 8000 De Tomasos are planned to be produced. A new De Tomaso will be shown at the 2011 Geneva Auto Show.
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By on November 21, 2009

Karmann can breathe again. Picture courtesy autobild.de

Nine months ago, German Karmann declared bankruptcy. The maker of the venerable Ghia, and until recently contract manufacturer and specialist for ragtops, fell victim to the sad fact that Fahrvergnügen doesn’t agree with carmageddon.

Now, Volkswagen, one of Karmann’s main customers, picked up the core pieces of the maker. Volkswagen isn’t taking over Karmann (that would mean assuming the liabilities.) Volkswagen is buying assets: Plants, machinery, real estate. Production in Osnabrück will go on. At a much smaller scale than before.
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By on November 20, 2009

Caught during photoshoot. Picture courtesy Chinacartimes.com

China’s SAIC, which had bought Britain’s MG and Rover in a roundabout way, is expected to unveil a production version of the MG 6 at the upcoming 2009 Guangzhou auto show next week, Gasgoo writes.
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By on November 20, 2009

Batteries not included. Picture telegraph.co.uk

Sweden’s unions are on a hot trail. They think that –ohmygod- the Chinese government could be pulling the strings with Geely and Volvo. China’s Geely won’t say where they get the money for buying Volvo from Ford. Geely says its backers include Chinese banks. Sweden’s union leaders are concerned that the Chinese government may ultimately be behind the takeover. Well duh, most (if not all) Chinese banks are owned by the Chinese government. Kindof. Somehow.
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By on November 20, 2009

Picture courtesy TedHobgood at Flickr.com

On Wednesday, German German tire and car parts maker Continental AG joined the long line of multinationals who opened a R&D facility in China. The multinationals are way ahead of popular wisdom that technology is developed in the West and ripped off in the East. In reality, development has long left the building and has taken up shop in China.

Continental’s R&D center in northeast Shanghai will have 900 engineers working away by early next year. They will focus on the design and development of vehicle electronics. Shanghai Daily reports that Continental plans another technical center in the Jiading District if Shanghai which will do vehicle development and system testing. Not the stuff you do with a sledgehammer.
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By on November 19, 2009

Picture courtesy w1.siemens.com

China has barely received wireless 3G service (a little later than the US, much later than Europe and Japan.)  China has three competing  3G  technologies, one based on the globally accepted WDCMA (UMTS) standard, the other two homegrown. That, and the fact that coverage is still spotty, doesn’t stop them from networking their cars. Chinese love their mobile phones and they love their cars.  In Beijing, nearly one in every inhabitant has a mobile. China counts approximately 700m mobile phones, one for every two people.

Changan Auto has signed a strategic cooperation agreement this week with China Mobile to develop a smart vehicle based on 3G wireless technologies, Xinhua reports via Gasgoo.
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By on November 18, 2009

I zee, hear, and know nozzink. Picture courtesy collegerecruiter.com

The Senior Counselor to the U.S. President for Manufacturing Policy; and Leader on the U.S. Presidential Task Force on the Auto Industry, Ron Bloom, was utterly clueless.  He told Reuters that the Obama administration supposedly was just as flabbergasted by GM’s sudden reversal on the Opel deal as Angela Merkel and the rest of Germany was. That they supposedly were not consulted. And that this is just divvy, because it “underscores the independence of a new board put in place to safeguard the U.S. government’s investment in GM.” Isn’t Teflon wonderful?

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By on November 18, 2009

Possible outcome? Picture courtesy torontocat.ca

For Monday, November 23, EU Economy Commissar Günther Verheugen invited all EU Economy Ministers to come to Brussel to attend an Opel summit. GME’s new chief Nick Reilly will also attend, reports Unternehmer.de. The idea behind the meeting is anti-competitive: “The Commission is strictly against any bidding war with subsidies,” Verheugen said. Any government help for GM and Opel will be subject to intensive scrutiny from Brussels. Verheugen doesn’t want to rule out government help, as long as EU rules are not broken.

Don’t read too much into this meeting.
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By on November 18, 2009

Who’s on third? Pictures courtesy samwatkins.co.uk

Volkswagen wants to unseat Toyota as number one by 2018. When they announced that strategy, it was widely discounted as Wolfsburg hubris, and as a goal so far out that nobody will recall nine years down the road that the goal has ever been set. Or as the saying goes in Wolfsburg: “In 2018, I’ll be retired.”

A few days ago, The Guardian reported that in the first 9 months of 2009, Volkswagen/Porsche made 4.4 million cars whereas Toyota made 4 million. Which ignited speculations that VeeDub may have reached its elusive goal 9 years early. Then the usual count of apples and oranges ensued, and after the joint ventures with minority stakes were included, Toyota nosed ahead.

Everybody calm down. Volkswagen is years away from overtaking Toyota, reports Das Autohaus. Surprise, surprise, arch rival GM is nipping at Toyota’s heels.
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By on November 17, 2009

Everything under control. Picture courtesy 1.bp.blogspot.com

Dutch motorists can prepare themselves for spending up to four years in the slammer and to pay fines of more than $100,000 if they intend to tamper with the automotive equivalent of an electronic ankle bracelet which their government will put in their cars.
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