Earlier today, I wrote an editorial about the U.S. Treasury Department’s plan to “sell” Chrysler Financial to former GM captive lender GMAC. Motive: Chrysler could continue to function (under union control, no less). The lender could keep lending money to ChryCo dealers to buy ChryCo cars. Means: what are you kidding? Your tax money. Opportunity: none. Well, legally. Legally, a Chrysler Financial–GMAC merger would imperil the bank, in direct contradiction of FDIC rules. Of course, the fact that GMAC is a bank in the first place is a violation of federal rules. OK, not technically. Technically, the Fed bent the rules for GMAC to qualify for bank status at the 11th hour, behind closed doors, screwing over recalcitrant debt holders but good. So anyway, I called the ChryCo Financial–GMAC merger a clusterfuck. (I know: I should stop sugar coating my analysis.) Turns out I had no idea how bad things are over at GMAC. But CNNMoney does . . .

Read More >

Automotive News [sub] reports that GM’s bondholders have turned down the firm’s debt for equity offer of 225 shares of “new” GM stock per $1K of debt. The deal, which would have given bondholders a ten percent stake in a partnership with the UAW (39 percent) and the Government (50 percent) and existing shareholders (1 percent) was derided as “neither reasonable nor adequate” and “a blatant disregard of fairness” in a prepared statement. “The offer was made unilaterally, without any prior discussion or negotiation with bondholders and in spite of repeated calls for dialogue,” write advisers to GM’s ad hoc bondholder committee. “We are deeply concerned that GM waited until late April to make its offer.” Money quote? “This offer demonstrates that the company and the auto task force, unfortunately, are pinning their hopes on an extremely risky and legally questionable turnaround in bankruptcy court.” And how.

As part of Viability Plan III, GM announced its intention to close 42 percent of its bloated dealer network, reducing the number of stores to 3,600. That’s a cut of 2,600 dealers. Our take on that part of that part of the new new new new new new new new turnaround plan: a Mandarkian laugh. American car dealers are covered by 50 states worth of franchise laws; politicians don’t get elected without the support of their local or state dealers’ council. Any dealer cull would have to wait for a bankruptcy judge. Nuff said? Apparently not. Wards’ Dealer Business reports that The General is laying the groundwork for an anti-dealer jihad, regardless of the “niceties” of C11.

Read More >

The Washington Post reports that the Treasury reached an agreement “in principle” with major Chrysler bondholders last night on the terms of their haircut. Under the deal, $6.9 billion in debt would be paid off with a mere $2 billion in cash once Chrysler completes restructuring. Unlike GM’s debt-swap effort and Chrysler’s UAW VEBA deal, the debt is not being swapped for equity in a reconstituted Chrysler. Which means Chrysler’s lenders would rather walk away with about 28 cents on the dollar than cast their lot in with the New, New Chrysler. The Treasury is still trying to keep Chrysler’s restructuring out of bankruptcy court, but officials emphasize that this deal does not guarantee that Chrysler won’t file. Also, about a third of Chrysler bondholders are still mulling the offer over.

The Freep reports that the Treasury has blocked GM’s plans to buy Delphi’s unwanted steering business, while putting the kibosh on $150 million in payments that GM had planned to keep its major supplier operating through May. This puts Delphi, GM, The Treasury and creditors on a shorter timeline to resolve Delphi’s three-year-long bankruptcy; a deal must now be reached by May 9. If a deal isn’t reached by then, Delphi will be liquidated, GM will have to buy back mission-critical plants, and new suppliers will be contracted. So now you know why GM is idling most of its plants this summer: if parts stop shipping, there won’t be an (unplanned) production disruption. What isn’t clear is why the Treasury thinks a Delphi liquidation is a desireable outcome. After all, $5 billion has already been earmarked to help guarantee OEM payments to suppliers. Maybe Treasury actually thinks that money would be better off spent on ads. More likely though, the Treasury boyz want a top-to-bottom restructuring to go down next month, and Delphi’s lingering bankruptcy (and estimated $2billion yearly cost over competition according to GM) put it squarely in the “Bad GM” camp. And so it burns.

Bloomberg reports that Source Interlink has gone Tango Uniform. You may know Source Interlink as the publisher of Motor Trend, Automobile and [a claimed] 73 other publications. Not to mention [a claimed] 90 websites. Like the formerly octo-branded GM, Source Interlink simply bit off more than it could chew—and then discovered there wasn’t enough to eat. “The company listed debt of $1.9 billion and assets of $2.4 billion . . . US magazine advertising revenue in the first quarter fell 20 percent from a year earlier, according to the Publisher’s Information Bureau, an industry group. US auto sales tumbled 37 percent in March. Source Interlink hasn’t reported a profit since the second quarter of 2007.” This after spending $1.2 billion to buy a package of titles from PrimeMedia in 2007. As for the future . . .

Read More >

When the historians chronicle Detroit’s decline and fall, Daimler’s rape and pillage of the storied American car brand will merit an entire tome. In short form, the Germans came, they saw, they laughed, they lunched, they left. And when they left, they maintained a 19.9 percent share in the hollowed-out American automaker. Wishful thinking? Tax law? A codicil from Cerberus to allow Chrysler’s new masters to sue the shit out of the Germans if things went badly? In any case, thanks to The Presidential Task Force on Automobiles determination to reconstitute Chrysler as a worker’s co-op, by Friday, Daimler gets to see Chrysler implode from afar. [NB: So much for the “The Big 2.8”.] Bloomberg reports that Daimler will “cede” its remaining its stake in “former U.S. division” (ouch) to Cerberus Capital Management LP. More to the point, the “transaction” will result in a $700 million write down in the second quarter. Oh, and Daimler will “forgive” $1.3 to $1.7 billion worth of “loans” to Chrysler. And “contribute” $600 million to the US automaker’s pension plans over the next three years. Meanwhile, Daimler’s own haus is on fire . . .

Read More >

According to Automotive News [sub], the United Auto Workers (UAW) agreement with Chrysler/Fiat would deliver unto the union a 55 percent share of the reborn Italian – American automaker. As in the proposed (but doomed) GM bondholder offer, ChryCo union workers will forego a multi-billion dollar payment into their Voluntary Employment Beneficiary Association (VEBA) health care fund in exchange for the equity stake. In Chrysler’s case, $6 billion buys them controlling interest in Chrysler. That’s all kind of nuts on all kinds of levels. And as we’re in tail wagging the dog territory . . .

Read More >

Late last Friday, GM revealed in a regulatory filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission that its employee stock fund manager, State Street Bank and Trust Co., has unloaded all company shares. According to the Associated Press (AP), “The plan’s financial manager said it began selling off shares of the Detroit automaker in late March ‘due to the economic climate and the circumstances surrounding GM’s business.'” This may help to explain the dead cat bounce GM’s stock experienced today.

Read More >

If 90 percent of GM’s bondholders don’t exchange, GM’s bankruptcy is a done deal. In other words, it’s a done deal. Or, as GM CEO Fritz Henderson said, it’s “more probable.” [Download pdf here.] How’s this for investor appeal? “If we seek bankruptcy relief, you may receive consideration that is less than what is being offered in the exchange offers and it is possible that you may receive no consideration at all for your GM notes.” And here’s a wrinkle TTAC’s Ken Elias has brought to our attention: the offer treats all bondholders the same, regardless of when their notes come due. “That’s because there’s no way to negotiate with different classes of bondholders outside of bankruptcy.” Ken reckons all of this is just window dressing: “They’re just softening-up the battlefield for a Chapter 11.” And here’s the really strange bit: GM’s stock went up 40 cents on the news. As Mandark would say, Haa ha haa, haa ha ha ha ha! Only, it’s not so funny, really.

GM has released its press release releasing [both] remaining fans of the Pontiac brand from the suspense surrounding its untimely (as in late) demise. “As part of the revised Viability Plan and the need to move faster and further, GM in the U.S. will focus its resources on four core brands, Chevrolet, Cadillac, Buick and GMC. The Pontiac brand will be phased out by the end of 2010. GM will offer a total of 34 nameplates in 2010, a reduction of 29 percent from 48 nameplates in 2008, reflecting both the reduction in brands and continued emphasis on fewer and stronger entries. This four-brand strategy will enable GM to better focus its new product development programs and provide more competitive levels of market support.” Buick? “The revised plan moves up the resolution of Saab, Saturn, and Hummer to the end of 2009, at the latest.” GM CEO Fritz Henderson put a brave face on the news, ’cause that’s who he is and what he does.

Read More >

“The UAW said it reached a deal with Fiat and the U.S. government.” Oops! I forgot the word “also”. I wonder how that happened. Because everyone knows Chrysler’s management is large and in charge, despite the fact that its existence depends entirely on the largesse of the American taxpayer and the success of a cockamamie scheme hatched by a struggling Italian automaker and an unelected quango known as The Presidential Task Force on Automobiles. The Detroit News provides the details of the agreement, which show that the UAW—wait . . . No they don’t. Motown’s hometown paper doesn’t provide any details of the union – Chrysler – Fiat – PTFOA agreement. All we get is this: “The settlement agreement, subject to ratification by UAW members at Chrysler, includes a revision of the 2007 health care deal, and members must approve the deal by Wednesday.” At best, we can assume some sort of health care obligation for equity swap involved. At worst, Uncle Sam will guarantee the union’s health care provisions, regardless of Chrysler’s ultimate fate (i.e., liquidation.) As the DetN recognizes, whatever the fine print, the union deal paves the way for American Leyland.

Read More >

You may have noticed that TTAC hasn’t joined the MSM’s celebration of Ford’s Q1 financial report. While FoMoCo didn’t lose as much money as analysts predicted—“only” dropping $1.4 billion in Q1—danger lurks around every corner. For one thing, the “it wasn’t as bad as everyone expected” rejoicing represents exactly the same logic GM deployed as it slouched towards Bethlehem. Look how well that turned out. For another, as we also pointed out during GM’s Long March to C11, you can’t cut your way to profits. At some point, Ford’s going to have to build something the North American car market really really wants. The forthcoming Transit van, turbo’ed Taurus, Fusion, etc. ain’t it. Fiesta? I wouldn’t don those sombreros just yet.

Read More >

Buried in the Detroit Free Press story trumpeting the Canadian Auto Workers’ latest agreement with Chrysler: news that the Presidential Task Force on Automobiles (PTFOA) plans to split the zombie automaker into two.

“We’re living to fight another day,” [CAW Boss Ken] Lewenza said. “But the fear and uncertainty is not over. Not by a long shot.” Specifically, he said representatives of Chrysler and Fiat told him that if Chrysler files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection next week, the company will be split into “a good company and a bad company. And the bad company would be sold off.”

Read More >

Ah, Delphi. I remember predicting—what, two years ago?—that parts maker Delphi’s collapse would drag GM into bankruptcy. Well, just as GM is falling into C11 on its own accord (so to speak), it seems the ghost of subdivisions past are about to . . . drag GM into bankruptcy. The Detroit News reports that GM’s sent up an emergency flare. “In light of adverse developments in the industry, at GM and at Delphi, GM has been in negotiations with Delphi and its lenders to arrive at solutions that would ensure GM’s source of supply under fair and reasonable terms,” GM said in a statement today. “While GM has proposed a potential solution that would allow for the successful and rapid resolution of Delphi’s bankruptcy case, its lenders have rejected this proposal.”

Read More >