The hangover following the late night rescue of Opel is causing bigger headaches by the day. Last week, the German magazine Focus wrote that half of the €1.5 billion bridge loan, guaranteed by the German government, could escape “abroad”—€600 million to Spain, €150 million to the UK. Today, Opel denied that report. According to Die Welt, a drive for charitable donations yielded €200 million from Spain. The governments of Belgium, Austria, Poland, and the UK also pledged hitherto unspecified amounts to keep their Opel factories open. Then, German media wrote that GM wouldn’t hand over the Opel patents gratis. Oh no, they would want €6.5 billion in license fees over the next 10 years, €200 million in preferred stock, and €300 million in cold, hard cash for the patents that had been supposedly “sold” by Opel to Delaware. That topic is currently open, but “sources” say it ain’t true. Then there’s the matter of €4 billion for the Opel pension fund. The German government was asked to come up with the money, the answer was: “Nein!” Will it ever end? Nein.

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When trying to buy VW with the proceeds of derivatives instead of plain old money, Porsche bit off too much it can chew. And they are choking. Volkswagen performed a Heimlich maneuver to the tune of a €700 million loan to save Porsche from extinction by bankruptcy. That loan is not enough, and it’s short term, 6 months max. Porsche was then able to secure a €10 billion bank loan, but had to put the crown jewels of the Porsche family in hock. The €10 billion loan was used to pay off a previous €10 billion loan. The adroit derivatives player turns more and more into someone who uses a credit card to pay off credit card debt. Porsche needs more money. They went to “Germany’s dumbest bank.”

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It has been commented widely (and it doesn’t take a tall IQ to do so) that Magna might get problems with its parts customers (a.k.a. OEMs) when Magna starts competing with them through Opel. Didn’t take long: “Volkswagen AG said Wednesday Canadian auto parts supplier Magna International Inc. will face conflicts of interest following the planned takeover of General Motors Corp.’s (GM) Adam Opel GmbH unit,” Dow Jones Newswire reports from Germany. The threats are carefully worded:
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Sick of sinking car sales? Two choices: Relocate to Germany. Or go to China. In both countries, #4 and #3 on the world’s GDP ranking, cars are flying off dealer lots at breakneck speed.

In Germany, Abwrackprämien-powered new car registrations rose nearly 40 percent in May, compared to May 2008, Automobilwoche [sub] reports. Forty friggen percent! And we thought 19.4 percent in April was strong. In the first 5 months, 1.63 million units were sold to Deutschland’s motorists. In the beginning of the year, everybody in Germany was worried that sales could be less than 3 million cars for the whole year. Now, im Gegenteil: 2009 looks like a record breaker.
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Magna expects to consummate the marriage of Opel by September. This doesn’t surprise; it just so happens that the German elections are on 9/27/2009. In the meantime, Deutschland develops distinct doubts about the deal. “The German government made it clear that the door remains open to rival bidders,” Reuters reports. “The process is still open to all the bidders,” government spokesman Ulrich Wilhelm told reporters in Berlin. The German government keeps repeating that other bidders, including Fiat and China’s BAIC, still have a shot if they improved their bids. Doubts reach all the way to the top . . .

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On the A4 Autobahn near Friedewald, Germany. The police is on the ass of an obscure vehicle: Banged-up, holes in the bodywork, huge rivets everywhere. Highly suspicious in a country that doesn’t have HOV-2 lanes: A puppet sits in the right hand seat. Germany’s finest pull him over. Highly embarrassing: They caught themselves a prototype of a yet to be launched BMW. Supposedly a 535d. Even more embarrassing: There is a video of the whole affair, brought to you by BILD Zeitung. Knowing that the test driver will be punished at the factory, the police let him go.

The marathon meeting at the Adlon may not have been for naught after all. “After hours of talks with Canadian auto parts supplier Magna International, GM has reached an agreement, in principle, ” Reuters reports. Now they have to agree on a memorandum of understanding that will serve as the basis for bridge financing of €1.5 billion ($2.1 billion) and the trustee plan that comes with it. The German government will not give the bridge financing without the trustee scheme. Otherwise, their money and Opel will be drawn into the black hole of the Chapter 11 filing that is expected for Monday.
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Suspense in Berlin runs high. At 2 p.m., a meeting was held, German politicians only, no bidders, no GM, no treasury staffers. Fifteen minutes later, Chancellor Angela Merkel left the building—Opel watchers saw that as a sign of a final breakdown. Then at 3 p.m., GM and Magna show up at the Chancellory. Fifteen minutes later, Angela returns. At least they are still talking. 3:55 p.m.: The summit has been re-scheduled. Will start at 6 p.m.. It will be a long Friday night again in Berlin. If talks break down, it will be lights out in Rüsselsheim . . .
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It was a long meeting that lasted into the wee hours of the Thursday morning. It ended with the German government throwing insults at the US government. Everybody went home or to their presidential suites with a headache and no deal. If there is no further movement, Opel will go down the drain with GM by Friday.

Before the meeting, there were rumblings that wrinkles had to be ironed out in a trustee plan that was supposed to be the basis for bridge financing provided by the German government. The money was supposed to keep the lights on in Rüsselsheim, while the proper groom for Opel is being groomed.

Mice and men impacted with US government greed. Or lack of their usual largess.

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In the high states poker for Opel, GM did put the cards on the table, got up and walked.

Automobilwoche [sub] reports that GM handed over “all European plants, patents and access technologies debt free to the Adam Opel GmbH.” It’s official, the supervisory board of Adam Opel GmbH has acknowledged it. What’s more, the supervisory board of the GmbH (in reality, GM) “accepted the trustee model of the German government.” This clears Opel for a new investor, and keeps the company clear of the downdraft caused by the impending bankruptcy of the mother ship.

Tonight, there will be a meeting in Berlin that may decide who will take over Opel—with more than a little help of the German government. It could be a long night.

According to recent reports, the night most likely will be inconclusive.
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Today is—how do they put it at AA?—the first day of the rest of the life of Opel. Or not, as the saying goes around here. Today, everybody who has anything to say about Opel’s fate will get together in Berlin. The papers that will take away GM’s daughter Opel and make it a child of the state and parties yet undecided are already written up and are waiting for the signatures, says Die Welt. Klaus Franz, head of the Opel workers council has seen the paperwork, “and it looks good, everything is going in the right direction,” Franz said.

Present at the meeting will be Chancellor Angela Merkel, Freiherr von und zu Guttenberg, the premiers of the four states that are home to Opel factories, GM Europe chief Carl-Peter Forster, someone from RenCen, along with an anonymous representative of GM’s owner, the US government. Principals only. They will quiz the managers of the companies interested in Opel: Fiat, Magna, Richwood. The one with the most points wins.

Again, or not . . .

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Bidders for Opel need to bump up their commitments to win control of GM’s European arm, Germany’s economic minister tells Automotive News [sub]. Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg’s announcement came shortly after meeting with Fiat CEO Sergio Marchionne in Berlin. Coincidence? Nein. Fiat has been looking at acquiring the Opel operations along the lines of its Chrysler takeover: financed by desperate governments rather than the automaker itself. “There’s no favorite,” says zu Guttenberg. “Everyone knows that improvements are still necessary.” And as incentive, zu Guttenberg is still floating the possibility of an Opel bankruptcy. If bidders don’t “make credible commitments to preserve German jobs and showed a willingness to assume greater risks,” Germany will allow Opel to fail. After all, what government would hand over an automaker being kept alive with tax money to a foreign firm with a public-money dowry on top? Only America, apparently. Still, the threat could be losing its impact as Germany is also anxious to decide on a bid offer this week. In the spirit of compromise, Fiat is now saying it would accept only €6 billion in German government loan guarantees instead of the €7 billion previously requested.

Whoever has been on the inside of Volkswagen knows that they are devout skeptics when it comes to alternative energies. Sure, they do some token research into hydrogen and hybrids to give the blue VW logo a greener hue, but deep in their hydrocarbon pumping hearts, they are devoted pistonhardheads. The aggressive incremental improvement of internal combustion has been their true strategy. Under the “BlueMotion” moniker, they tweak existing technology to wring every last drop of gas (or diesel) out of it. So far, the conservative (and conserving) strategy has succeeded: The new BlueMotion Golf VI, fitted with a peppy 1.6L TDI oil-burning engine, gets 61.9 mpg, handily beating the 2010 EPA 51/48/50 mpg numbers of Toyota’s third gen Prius (YMMV, as you well know.) Suddenly, Wolfsburgologists are registering a change in VeeDub’s secretive Forschung und Entwicklungs Abteilung (R&D Dept., see picture above.)

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Playing poker for money is illegal in Germany. Which doesn’t keep the German government from conducting a high stakes poker game with a group of high rolling players. Around the table: Fiat, Magna, Ripplewood, Chancellor Merkel, Vice Chancellor Steinmeier, Minister Guttenberg. Kibitzing and making comments: The premiers of the Opel states, the unions, the Opel dealers, and just about everybody else. On the table, barely alive: Opel. The Financial Times calls it—with British understatement—“considerable back-room powerplay by politicians.”
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Fiat, RHJ International and Magna have all submitted bids for GM’s European unit, Opel. In an interview published today [reported by The New York Times], German economy minister Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg reserved the right to reject all three suitors, sending Opel into bachelor’s bankruptcy. “We must first have a high degree of certainty that the significant tax money we will have to provide is not lost,” KTzG pronounced. Roger that. All three offers depend on German financial backing; without which NONE of them will go forward. After those glad tidings hit the net, KTzG went into damage control mode. Speaking to journalists in Berlin, Mr. Guttenberg’s spokesman “clarified” his position: “we want to avoid bankruptcy, but bankruptcy has to be an option. Apparently, an “orderly insolvency” would “not be the end of the company.” Who’s the oxymoron now?