Category: High Finance

By on July 28, 2011

Checking in on Saab, which becomes as cheerful as visiting a relative in a hospice, we hear that Saab can’t make payroll again. Says The Local: “Saab informed white-collar staff on Tuesday that they would not receive their salaries on time this month. According to a report in the Dagens Industri (DI) business daily, the money will be delayed due to the non-payment of a installment from Bahamas-registered fund Gemini.”  The natives are getting restless: A local politician demands Victor Muller’s head. Read More >

By on July 27, 2011

Who says an automaker needs at least 5 million units per year to survive? Daimler in Germany made $6.7 billion EBIT on sales of just 989,386 units in the first half year. Unlike other car companies who are sitting on such a big pile of accrued losses that no taxes will be due in the foreseeable future, Daimler made a healthy contribution to the government’s finances. Even after tax, the company is left with $4.2 billion for the first half year. This according to emailed statements by Daimler. Read More >

By on July 26, 2011

 

Ford’s Q2 results [Presentation in PDF here] were mixed, as deliveries and revenue improved (7% and 13% respectively, compared to Q2 2010) but profitability slipped, but the automaker still ended the quarter with $2.4b in profit and $2.3b in operating cash flow. Debt was reduced by $2.6 from the first quarter of this year, and total Automotive debt landed at $14b, while gross Automotive cash landed at $22b. So, what happened to Ford’s operating profit margin?

 

Read More >

By on July 26, 2011

Despite a $370m loss, Chrysler’s Q2 and first-half results [presentation in PDF here] were presented in a relatively upbeat tone, as a number of key metrics showed signs of improving. Chrysler’s revenue was up by over $3b in the second quarter compared to last year, EBITDA hit $1.3b, and “modified operating profit” was $507m, or about 3.7% of net revenues. Depreciation and Amortization costs were up slightly, as were income tax and net interest expenses, but the big loss that pushed Chrysler into the red was a $551m one-time charge associated with Chrysler’s payback of government bailout loans. Gross debt was up by about a billion dollars, to $12.287b, but net debt was down by over a billion to $2.1b, and Chrysler sees greatly reduced interest costs going forward, eliminating $2.6b in planned debt payments this year. And though free cash flow slowed considerably compared to Q2 2010 ($174m compared to $491m), Chrysler finished the half with $10.2b, up from $9.9b at the end of the first quarter.

Read More >

By on July 25, 2011


Over the weekend we told you Saab-watchers to “expect a run on the bankruptcy court in the coming days and weeks,” and according to Bloomberg the process has already begun. Christina Lindberg of the Swedish Debt Enforcement Agency tells the news service that eight suppliers have requested that their portion of the 104 debts registered with the agency be collected and that

We will start the collection process in a few days.

The good news? A previous request to place a Saab subsidiary in bankruptcy has been revoked as the supplier in question there was paid off. Now, however, with eight more debts going to collections (worth an undisclosed amount, we know that one debt alone is worth around $70m and estimates put the total at around $1b), the situation has become dire once again. The answer? Vladimir Antonov, of course! Thelocal.se reports that suppliers are pushing for the EIB to approve Antonov’s ownership stake, seeing the Russian as the only way out of the situation. And because the EIB will clearly never approve Antonov, another report that’s just breaking now says that Saab is seeking to “replace” the EIB loan in order to bring Antonov on board. The looming question: who on earth is going to lend this bleeding-out corpse of a company $350m? Does Antonov even have a billion to spare for his pet project? Needless to say, nobody has the faintest clue… they just know it has to happen. Yikes!

By on July 25, 2011

Withe the Detroit Free Press reporting that combined Q2 profits for the Detroit automakers could hit $4b, the quadrennial negotiations with the UAW which opened today with a meeting between Chrysler and the union could be a tough slog. And because the profit outlook is mixed, with GM and Chrysler likely to improve profitability and Ford likely to see a drop in net takings, the long-standing tradition of “pattern bargaining” could come to an end. Ford currently pays about a dollar more per hour than GM and about $2 per hour more than Chrysler (which is partially owned by the UAW’s VEBA trust fund), and Ford also shoulders more of workers’ health care costs than its cross-town rivals. And UAW president Bob King admits

Being really blunt about it, when you don’t represent the overwhelming majority of an industry, which we don’t any more, then you can’t do pattern bargaining

Already unfairly disadvantaged by the UAW (Ford is the only Detroit-based automaker without a no-strike contract) and facing falling profitability, Ford is telling the union not to expect wage increases. But does that mean the union’s only choice is to bring GM and Chrysler up to Ford’s pay and benefit levels?

Read More >

By on July 24, 2011

14 millions Americans are out of work. The government is facing default. U.S. home prices are at their lowest level since 2003, and Robert Shiller, the economist who co- founded the S&P/Case-Shiller index of U.S. home prices, said a decline in property values up to 25 percent in the next five years “wouldn’t surprise me at all.” From Bernanke on down, everybody is scaling back the rhetoric that economic growth is just around the corner.  Suddenly, automakers aren’t so sure anymore about all that pent-up demand that will bring back U.S. car sales back to their old glory. Reuters asked around and didn’t come back with good news. Read More >

By on July 23, 2011

Last week, a small Swedish parts supplier by the name of SwePart did not want to wait any longer and asked a Swedish court to declare a key Saab subsidiary, Saab Automobile Tools, bankrupt. Bankruptcy of the subsidiary would have meant the end for Saab as well.  Hectic activity ensued. On Friday afternoon, there was an announcement that the matter had been settled and the bankruptcy petition was withdrawn. Expect a run on the bankruptcy court in the coming days and weeks. Read More >

By on July 22, 2011

When I was a very young and very green copywriter, Dr. Carl Hahn, at the time CEO of Continental Tires and later CEO of Volkswagen, said in an agency brief: “We lose 10 Deutschmarks on every tire we sell.”

“Then we better stop advertising them,” said I.

Hahn gave me a pained look. The look was followed by real and massive pain in my left foot, because my Creative Director had kicked me viciously.

“Ouch!” I said.

“You’ve got that right,” said Hahn.

That little story crossed my mind when I read in The Nikkei [sub] that “Mitsubishi Motors Corp.’s electric vehicles and other eco-friendly offerings are expected to begin contributing to the firm’s bottom line in two years.” Read More >

By on July 22, 2011

One of Saab’s suppliers, SwePart Verktyg AB, asked a Swedish court to declare a key Saab subsidiary, Saab Automobile Tools, bankrupt today reports Automotive News [sub]. Saab Tools owed about $935,000 to SwePart for tooling, and according to the supplier

More than one week has passed from the summons and payment has not yet been made. Saab Automobile should therefore be considered insolvent… We don’t want them to go into bankruptcy, I wish you understand that, that would be horrible, but we are a small company and for us that is a lot of money

Saab Tools was created to guarantee EIB loans for tooling, so had the “subsidiary” been declared insolvent, the whole ship would have gone down. But before a judge could act, Saab somehow managed to put out the fire, as a company press release proclaims

Swedish Automobile N.V. confirms that Saab Automobile Tools AB reached agreement on payment terms with the supplier that filed for bankruptcy, thereby resolving the issue.

Once again, Saab pulls the fat from the fire at the last minute… but the clouds are dark and rolling in fast. Many suppliers are still looking for money, Saab Automobile has 104 claims pending against it, and SwePart’s bankruptcy request won’t be formally withdrawn until Monday. And with the Swedish government and EIB seemingly unwilling to lift a finger to help, even the faithful are losing hope. This feels like the beginning of the end of the end…

By on July 21, 2011

Video from Chrysler’s last “new day,” shortly after being bought by Cerberus in 2007

According to Chrysler Group’s latest 8K, filed with the SEC today

On July 21, 2011, Fiat North America LLC, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Fiat S.p.A. (collectively, “Fiat”), acquired beneficial ownership of the membership interests in Chrysler Group LLC (the “Company”) held by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (“U.S. Treasury”) and the Canadian government’s special purpose entity, the Canada Development Investment Corporation (“Canadian government”). Fiat acquired 98,461 Class A membership interests in the Company from the U.S. Treasury, representing approximately 6 percent of the fully-diluted ownership interest in the Company for cash consideration of $500 million. Pursuant to a separate agreement, Fiat paid $125 million to acquire 24,615 Class A membership interests in the Company from the Canadian government, representing approximately 1.5% of the fully-diluted ownership interest.

Pursuant to these self-funded transactions, Fiat became the owner of a majority of the membership interests in the Company. Fiat now holds 55.3% of the Company’s outstanding equity, or 53.5% on a fully-diluted basis, taking into account the occurrence of the third and final Class B Event described in the LLC Operating Agreement which is expected to occur by the end of 2011. The remaining equity in the Company is owned by the UAW Retiree Medical Benefits Trust, a voluntary employees’ beneficiary association trust (the “VEBA”).

That’s right, the United States taxpayers are now fully-divested from their “investment” in Chrysler, which is now a majority-owned division of Fiat. Once the EPA certifies that Dodge’s new Fiat-based compact car gets 40 MPG unadjusted combined (about 30 MPG in “window sticker” EPA mileage), Fiat will get another 5% of Chrysler’s equity, bringing its stake in the company to 58.3%. In a statement, the Treasury estimated the final cost of the bailout to be $1.3b (as it does not expect any meaningful recovery from Old Chrysler’s liquidation), although that does not include several taxpayer outlays, without which the rescue of Chrysler would not have been possible. By our math, the total bill for Chrysler’s rescue is closer to $4.7b.

So, after all the drama was it worth it? For now I’ll leave that one to the comment section… and history.

By on July 21, 2011

After spending much of this year not producing vehicles, Saab is anxious to get to work on its 11,000 vehicle backlog of orders, and production was supposed to start on August 9 after workers return from Summer vacation. But a Saab press release reveals that the troubles aren’t over, with short term financing and supplier agreements still to hammer out, and that production won’t resume until August 29 at the earliest. Gunnar Brunius, Vice President of Production and Purchasing explains:

I am positive about the progress we made on the payment terms with our suppliers and it is good to see that we all want to make it work. What we need now is a full commitment on supply of parts into our factory to be able to restart production and secure a stable manufacturing operation. We are now working hard with our suppliers to nail down these plans, commit to a delivery schedule and start building the close to 11,000 cars that we currently have in our order books. The industry-wide summer break at our suppliers caused certain key suppliers not to be able to supply us in time. Saab Automobile hopes to restart production earliest in week 35 provided that it is able to commit to a delivery schedule with its suppliers.

But wait, there is some good news! Saab’s Communications Manager Eric Geers tells GP.se

I can promise one hundred percent to the salaries paid next week. Where the money comes from is not important, the main thing is that we pay [emphasis added]

That kind of sums up the whole Saab situation nicely, doesn’t it?

By on July 13, 2011

“Producing in Japan will remain extremely difficult as long as the conditions don’t change,” said Akio Toyoda today, and appealed to the Japanese government to “level the playing field.” Toyota did some leveling of its own. In a big board meeting, Toyota leveled swaths of corporate structures. Read More >

By on July 6, 2011

It has been around the net since yesterday that “trucks are piling up on auto lots” and that this could spell “trouble for GM.”

Bloomberg reports that GM did bet on a strong recovery and built more trucks to fill the imaginary demand. “The strategy is backfiring.”

The National Legal and Policy Center has more sinister suspicions. It states that “it looks like General Motors is up to its old tricks as it stuffs inventory channels with higher profit trucks.” The center is accusing GM and the Obama administration of “fudging earnings.” Read More >

By on July 4, 2011

Japanese automakers will move their production elsewhere if the yen keeps rising. This is what Toshiyuki Shiga, chairman of the Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association, told The Nikkei [sub] in a very blunt interview.  Shiga, who is also the COO of Nissan, said that power shortfalls and the strong yen are the biggest impediment to Japan’s most important industry. Read More >

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