Category: High Finance

By on February 11, 2011

Reuters reports:

Trading in the shares of China’s top carmaker SAIC Motor Corp will be suspended from February 14 pending a material corporate announcement, SAIC said on Friday.

SAIC, the Chinese partner of General Motors and Volkswagen, and owner of the MG Rover plant in Britain, said it has been notified by its holding company SAIC Group that it is working on a major plan involving SAIC and discussions over the proposal are continuing, it said in a filing with the Shanghai Stock Exchange.

SAIC said it expects to make an announcement regarding the plan in five trading days following the trade suspension.

SAIC owns about one percent of GM, it is the majority owner of its Shanghai-GM joint venture and controls GM’s Indian-market operations… in fact, the last time SAIC suspended shares this way was when it took over GM’s Chinese and Indian ventures. So, what’s next? The mind boggles…

By on February 8, 2011

Toyota’s Senior Managing Director Takahiko Ijichi had a surprise for the press that congregated today in the windowless basement conference room of Toyota’s downtown Tokyo office. They were invited to hear the results of the 9 month period from April to December. The scribes had prepared for the worst. As the numbers were released, some furiously begun retyping the prepared stories in which they had planned to insert the expected bad numbers before hitting SEND. Instead, Reuters reports: “The world’s top automaker posted a smaller-than-expected fall in third quarter profits and hiked its sales forecast for the year to March 31 by 70,000 vehicles to 7.48 million, thanks to better than expected sales in Asia, Japan and Russia.” Read More >

By on February 6, 2011

Fiat CEO Sergio Marchionne stepped into a minefield by calling the high-interest bailout loans provided by the U.S. and Canadian governments in 2009 “shyster loans.” Some called him an ingrate, others branded him a racist. Yesterday, Marchionne apologized. Read More >

By on February 1, 2011

Impatient souls who already count Porsche and Volkswagen as one will have to exercise restraint for a while. The planned amalgamation of the Wolfsburg monster with the racy shop from Zuffenhausen can drag on for a while, reports Automobilwoche [sub]. The reason: Pricks Lawyers. Read More >

By on January 31, 2011

Ever since it beat back expectations of bankruptcy, Ford’s stock has been on fire, pushing the Blue Oval to the highest market capitalization of the Detroit automakers. Then, on Friday, when Ford announced its best financial results in over a decade, investors mysteriously sent the stock tumbling, pushing GM’s market cap higher than Ford’s for the first time since its government-ordered restructuring. How did that happen? Even with the one-time expenses Ford blamed for its Q4 drop in earnings, analysts expected Ford was expected to earn $2.05 per share… and analysts punished the automaker for making only $1.91 per share before special items and $1.66 after same. Since markets re-opened today, Ford’s market cap has gone on to $55.39b while GM has dropped back down to $54.73b, suggesting that GM’s stock price has been corrected downwards relative to Ford’s disappointing financial performance. Still, despite greater European-market problems, GM’s strong Chinese-market position will keep The General hanging just behind Ford waiting for the upstart automaker to stumble again.

By on January 31, 2011

How did Chrysler do last year? It all depends on how you slice the numbers, isn’t it? As warned, Chrysler’s Q4 was a bit of a letdown, as net revenues dropped from $11.018b in Q3 to $10.763b, resulting in a $199m Q4 net loss. Interest expenses continue to be a major drag on Chrysler’s performance, costing $329m in Q3 and a whopping $1.228b over the course of the year. Cash dropped by nearly a billion dollars from Q3 to Q4, ending the year at $7.347b (not counting $2.3b in undrawn government facilities). Chrysler nearly hit the 1.6m worldwide sales number touted in its Five Year restructuring plan, as well as the 1.1m US-market target (although fleet mixes appear to have been higher than anticipated). Chrysler also hit its goal of $40b+ in net revenues and exceeded Operating Profit and EBITDA projections, but as the slide from Chrysler’s Q4 financial presentation [PDF here] shows, Both debt (which will likely be restructured this year to reduce costs) and depreciation/amortization have killed Chrysler this year… which is why EBITDA and Modified Operating Profit take the top billing in Chrysler’s financial reporting.

Read More >

By on January 28, 2011

Regular TTAC readers know that there’s more to a successful performance from an automaker than pure volume alone. Average transaction prices, market share, and incentives all play a role in translating production numbers into profits. Luckily, our pals at TrueCar  have broken all that lovely data down, and they’ve sent over the numbers behind Ford’s recently-announced $8.3b profit, the Blue Oval’s best performance in over a decade. And, as you can imagine, a performance like that requires not only a hefty increase in volume (up nearly 20% on the year) but also improvements in market share (up 1.23%), and transaction price. Yes, incentives stayed stronger than they perhaps needed to be, but they now make up a lower percentage of the average transaction price. And that, ladies and gents, is how you make a $5.4b pre-tax operating profit in the US market alone [Q4 and historical data after the jump].

Read More >

By on January 28, 2011

Ford did not disappoint and today announced its biggest annual profit in a decade. According to a Ford release, the company booked $8.3 billion in pre-tax profits for 2010. That is a $3.8 billion increase from a year ago. Read More >

By on January 27, 2011

IGA Automobile, a new closed-end partnership fund, is planning on investing $150m into “a collection of 20 to 40 trophy marque vehicles with distinguished race or ownership histories” which it claims will appreciate some 15 percent over the next seven years, according to the Detroit News. Though collective buying of super-exotic cars is not new in itself, IGA Automobile fund Director Lancaster claims

This is the first classic-car fund that’s purely for financial returns, rather than passion

The fund, which is advised by Pink Floyd drummer and car nut Nick Mason, has identified several “potential acquisition targets” including the Ferrari 250 GTO, Aston Martin DB4 Zagato, Ford GT40, McLaren F1, Shelby Daytona Coupe and Porsche 917. And, since investors in the fund will be shelling out a minimum of half a million dollars to buy cars that they won’t even be able to keep in their own garage, the investment had better have a chance of making some money. And the fund’s managers think they can make that pitch, as

The Hagerty’s Cars That Matter “Blue Chip” Index, based on the values of the 25 most collectable postwar vehicles, has increased 67 percent from September 2006 to the end of 2010… The Historic Automobile Group International (HAGI) Top 50 index of exceptional classic-car prices was up 6.6 percent in 2010, lower than its average annual growth of more than 12 percent from 2003-08.

That’s better than plenty of investments did over a similar time period… but luxury-goods speculation still has a shaky track record. Besides, doesn’t it seem just a little bit wrong to treat these epic classics like a bond certificate, keeping them stashed away in a vault somewhere? Here’s hoping there’s room in the business plan for some kind of museum.

By on January 27, 2011

GM has just dropped a press release [in .docx format here] announcing that it has withdrawn its request for $14.4b in low-cost government retooling loans through the Department of Energy’s “Section 136” or ATVM loan program. Says CFO Chris Liddell

This decision is based on our confidence in GM’s overall progress and strong, global business performance. Withdrawing our DOE loan application is consistent with our goal to carry minimal debt on our balance sheet. Our forgoing government loans will not slow our aggressive plans to bring more new vehicles and technologies to the market as quickly as we can. We will continue to make the necessary investments to assert our industry leadership in technology and fuel economy.

Color us stunned. The “136” loan program was nearly used as a slush fund to bail out GM and Chrysler before President Bush ruled that the automakers qualified for TARP relief. Shortly after the bailout, GM said that the loan program was “one of the sources of liquidity GM is factoring into its plans in order to meet its capital requirements in the future.” More recently, it seemed that the loan program was on hold while GM and Chrysler were qualifying for loan requests that would have drained the program of funds. Now, with GM’s request dropped from the queue, there could be as much as $10b left for other manufacturers. Plus, by turning down cheap government loans, GM has made its first major (voluntary) step towards beating back the Government Motors moniker. Good for them.

By on January 24, 2011

One of the more dangerous conflicts embedded in the US auto bailout that was identified in the recent Congressional Oversight Panel report has been a TTAC hobbyhorse for some time, namely the tradeoff between GM’s success and that of its former captive finance arm GMAC (now known as Ally Financial). As we wrote back in May,

if government-owned Ally isn’t interested in underwriting GM’s volume gains with risky loans but also isn’t interested in seeing its auto lending business bought by GM, there’s trouble brewing. After all, that would leave GM with only two options: partnering with another bank, or starting a new captive lender. Either way, a new GM captive lender would likely force Ally into offering more subprime business anyway, or face losing its huge percentage of GM business.

Fast forward the better part of a year, and GM has indeed bought its own in-house subprime lender, leaving the COP to term The General’s lack of interest in taking care of “the Ally Tradeoff” as “disconcerting.” After all, with over 20 percent of GM’s equity and over 70 percent of Ally’s stick, the Government should have been able to work out some kind of deal that gets GM and Ally back on the same page… right? Not so fast, reports the WSJ. Ally turned down a $5b GM offer for its wholesale lending business earlier this year, and now it seems another deal may be in the works. But it has nothing to do with maximizing taxpayer payback, and everything to do with shoring up GM’s floorplanning credit. And it’s not coming from the government, but from GM’s newly-ubiquitous CEO Dan Akerson.

Read More >

By on January 23, 2011

On Friday, Ford will show something it didn’t have for a long time: Money, and lots of it. The Freep thinks that Ford will report a profit for 2010 of about $8 billion excluding onetime charges. That would be the biggest annual profit Ford saw in a decade. Read More >

By on January 3, 2011

Fiat split its auto business from the rest of its industrial operations today, creating two new companies: Fiat and Fiat Industrial. Fiat CEO Sergio Marchionne announced the move as a way for Fiat to unlock its share value and concentrate on its core business, telling the AP [via Newser]

This is a very important moment for Fiat, because it represents at the same time a point of arrival and a point of departure. Faced with the great transformations in place in the market, we could no longer continue to hold together sectors that had no economic or industrial characteristic in common.

But with Fiat Industrial taking care of the truck-and-tractor side of the business independently, Fiat SpA is focusing on the task at hand: Chrysler. With a 35 percent stake in the bailed-out American automaker in the bag, Fiat is aiming for a controlling stake when Chrysler’s IPO hits the markets later this year. And though the spin-off of FIat’s non-automotive business opens the door for a full merger of Fiat and Chrysler, Marchionne denies that a full merger will take place, saying only that

I don’t know whether it is likely, but it is possible that we’ll go over the 50 percent mark if Chrysler decides to go to the markets in 2011. It will be advantageous if that happens.

But don’t mind Sergio’s equivocation. Fiat will almost certainly snap up the remainder of a controlling stake by the end of this year. Here’s why…

Read More >

By on December 31, 2010

Phew.

Did you hear that? That was a sigh of relief, emanating from the few souls that are still holding the fort at Volkswagen in Wolfsburg and Porsche in Zuffenhausen. The sudden release of long held breath was caused by U.S. District Judge Harold Baer, who dismissed a lawsuit by 10 hedge  funds who accused Porsche of securities fraud during the Wiedeking/Härter hijinx. The hedgies claimed more than $2 billion in damages, which gave Volkswagen pause in fully absorbing Porsche. Now, they can floor it.

What tripped the claimants? Read More >

By on December 31, 2010

Former Obama administration “car czar” and leader of the Presidential Task Force on Autos,  Steven Rattner, wrote a $10 million check yesterday to NYS Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, and Cuomo dropped his charges. Rattner will remain a free man. The only thing he’s not allowed is to appear before any state-pension funds for the next five years. Cuomo can close out his desk and go on to become New York’s governor. Read More >

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