China’s recent decisions to allow defaults on commodity future contracts and subsidize raw material imports are seriously messing with the commodities markets, giving voice to paranoia in every sector of the economy. In the auto industry, that means the now-familiar cries from those who worry far too much about the availability of raw materials for battery making. Automotive News [sub] reports that worldwide demand for 15 “rare earth” elements will exceed demand by 40k tons “in the next few years,” raising challenges for the nascent hybrid and battery electric segments.

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Clearly, GM’s top suits missed the memo about the end of empire. While the artist formerly known as the world’s largest automaker clings to dreams of holding onto Opel with your (and German) tax money, the company has unveiled plan B: Chevy attacks! The Wall Street Journal [sub] reports that “Brent Dewar, recently named to head Chevy’s global operations, told reporters Friday that Chevy sales in Europe are expected to expand to one million from the 500,000 vehicles — or 2.5% of the market — sold in 2008. He didn’t provide a timetable for the growth target, but said new products — including Chevy Volt electric cars and Malibu sedans shipped from the U.S. — will fuel the effort.” Huh? “We’ve got to take this brand and truly make it global . . . a true relevant global participant,” Mr. Dewar said, admitting that the effort is “a work in progress.” Oh, so that’s what you call it . . .

State-owned stakes in the Russian auto firm AvtoVAZ, truck builder Kamaz and engine firm Avtodizel are being merged to create the first national auto conglomerate of the Carpocalypse. AvtoVAZ chairman Boris Alyoshin is stepping down, and will be replaced when the merger is complete. A new firm, created out of Russian Technologies, has been formed as a holding company for the government stakes which amount to 37.8% of Kamaz, 25% of AvotVAZ and 30% of Avtodizel. Renault owns another 25 percent stake in AvtoVAZ. But underlying weakness in the merging firms and the complication of government-owned conglomerate governance raise concerns for the latter-day Leyland. “It is hard to see any synergy from the unification of the passenger car producer and the heavy truck maker,” Alfa Bank analyst Georgy Ivanin tells AFP. “The decision making process in both companies may slow as the management structure gets more complicated.” Not to mention the “been there done that” factor.

To boil it down to a single word, Sebring. GAZ’s main mass-market model is the Volga Siber, a Russian-market adaptation of the previous generation Chrysler Sebring/Dodge Stratus. As Der Spiegel points out, that’s not enough to go to war with even in the Russian market, and GAZ’s bosses want Opel to bring modernity to their products. GM is terrified about the prospect of having to compete against Opel in Russia, reports the AP. But those fears could be overblown. “Even if GM completely stops doing any research and doing any product development, maybe [GAZ is] going to catch up with them in five or ten years at the earliest,” says Serguei Netessine of the Wharton Business School. Just in case though, GM is investing in its Daewoo-based European Chevy lineup, according to Bloomberg. Meanwhile, the search for an Opel buyer has cost over $1 billion so far. And it’s only just starting to get properly nasty.

Back in loony desperation of pre-bailout Cerberus-era Chrysler, plans were floated for Chrysler to build a Ram-based Nissan Titan in exchange for a ChryCo-branded version of the Nissan Versa (and possibly the Altima). Now that Fiat is running things in Auburn Hills though, Chrysler has access to modern compact and mid-sized platforms. And Fiat doesn’t want Chrysler paying Nissan to help it compete in South America, one of Fiat’s most important markets. According to Automotive News [sub], the break “leaves Nissan with a bigger problem than any facing Chrysler.” Namely, the Titan question. Wait, seriously? Nissan recently killed off the Quest and Infiniti QX56 to make more room in its Canton plant for diesel-powered light commercial vehicle production. If/when the economy does start coming back, that market could be a better place to be than the crowded, cutthroat full-size pickup market. Alternatively, Toyota is drowning in Tundra capacity. If Nissan wants to be in the pickup market so badly that it’s willing to beg for a rebadge, that seems like the place to start. Release after the jump.

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In a desperate attempt to save lucrative photo enforcement programs in the face of widespread scandal, the Italy’s Ministry of Interior on Friday announced significant reforms to the way speed cameras and red light cameras are operated in the country. The move followed explosive allegations of corruption involving over one hundred public officials and a number of executives from the photo enforcement industry. The investigation is ongoing with police forces having conducted raids and arrests earlier this month, in June and in January. Interior Minister Roberto Maroni set out the new regulations in a directive issued to local authorities. “The primary objective is… to plan (speed) control activities so that they represent a real tool of prevention and not merely a means to raise cash,” Maroni said in a statement. “Speed control is a police service that cannot be delegated to companies that rent equipment.”

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An unaccountable transportation body in North Central Texas on Thursday awarded $3,615,214 in taxpayer money to a foreign corporation for its failure to produce a winning toll road project bid. The Regional Transportation Council (RTC) of the North Texas Council of Governments approved the payment to Cintra Concesiones de Infraestructuras de Transporte, a Spanish company, as a “stipend for unsuccessful bidders” and for costs associated with applications the company made for loans that would have been backed by federal taxpayers.

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A group calling itself Consortium Jacob AB is making a last-minute play to keep the Volvo brand out of Chinese hands. The alt. Geely newbies consist mainly of Swedish owners, fronted by former Volvo CEO Roger Holtback. Despite the late entry into the auction, Ford has promised to treat the all [mostly?] Swedish bid seriously. The Swedish government’s “manager for affairs of the automotive industry” at the Industry Dept., Jöran Hägglund, gave the group the green light. Allegedly, Volvo’s union of engineers got the ball rolling. So, now, show me the money . . .

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Toyota President has renounced his firm’s 2002 goal of attaining 15 percent global market share by around 2010. “Our president doesn’t feel comfortable upholding figures as our vision,” an anonymous Toyota source tells Automotive News [sub]. “It is not the Toyota way to aim for 15 percent or 10 percent.” Which makes sense, considering Toyota is predicting a nearly 13 percent drop in global sales in the fiscal year ending March 31. Indeed, AN’s source blames the market share goal for Toyota’s current overcapacity struggles. Which indicates that the big T may have recognized the role of number-chasing in GM’s demise. If nothing else, its executives certainly understand the importance of emerging markets in driving sales. Perhaps because Volkswagen is creeping up on Toyota’s market share on the back of its Chinese and Brazilian business. You gotta dance when the floor keeps getting hotter.

Sorry, go back to bed: No Autobiography of BS © this time. As you read this, BS sits on a plane heading for Europe where he will conduct a week of business. Next Sunday is also unlikely as I’m on a plane back. After that . . . he’s baaaaaaaaack!

America’s traditional method for clunker-culling was to load old cars onto a truck and ship them to market in Mexico. That changed last year when Mexico banned the importation of vehicles built before 1998. Now, Mexico’s president Felipe Calderon has announced a scrappage scheme for his country, in hopes of jumping on the car sales bump bandwagon. According to El Universal [in Spanish, Hat Tip: Gato Negro], the program

“will grant 15,000 mexican pesos [about $1,000] towards the purchase of a new car. The clunker must be 10 years old at minumum. Initial budget will be 500 million pesos, expandable to 1,000 million. The cost of the new car should not exceed 160,000 pesos. Also: The car must be assembled in Mexico [or another NAFTA country] or imported by one of the seven brands that have a car factory in Mexican territory.”

Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal quotes analysis which shows that Europe’s 6.8m oversupply for 2009 will grow to 7.2m in 2010, because “scrappage schemes are significantly distorting the dynamics of the European market.”

Businessweek reports that GM’s Korean Daewoo Automotive Technology (GM-DAT) partner is in as much trouble as the Detroit-based mothership. GM-DAT, which develops much of GM’s small-car capability, has seen its sales fall nearly in half in June (particularly in Russia and Korea), prompting some to question whether the firm will emerge from a mounting liquidity crunch. Last year GM-DAT exported 900,000 vehicles and one million knock-down kits last year, accounting for a quarter of GM’s global sales. But as the firm’s Chevy and Buick brands have sagged, so to has GM-DAT’s income. The Korean unit is seeking loans from the Korean Development Bank, which owns 28 percent of the firm. KDB reportedly will only back GM-DAT if it becomes a full-line vehicle developer, rather than a small-car specialist. This would threaten GM’s Holden subsidiary in Australia, which has put the kibosh on such talks. Meanwhile, we’re hearing rumblings that the GM-DAT liquidity crisis is being caused by GM underpaying for its imports.

Old cars never die. They go to junkyards and donate parts to keep their brethren on the road in perpetuity. They rust out in back yards and collect dust and hay in barns. Or their tooling goes somewhere else. Scores of older cars live on in lesser developed countries, most famously the VW Beetle in Mexico until 2003. But also Iran Khodro’s Peugeot 405 and South Africa’s VW Golf Mk1 (out of production in Germany since 1983). Similarly, one of the best selling cars in British history—British Leyland’s Austin/MG Maestro—didn’t go out of production when it was canned in the UK in 1994. The car, notorious for exemplifying BL’s miserable failings, lives on in China to this day. A writer for AROnline ventured to Chengdu, where the Maestro soldiers on, to investigate what happened to this disaster of a car. In addition to other bodystyles, the basic platform underpins a knock off of an MG concept from a decade ago as well as a Subaru Forester knock-off. The article is well worth a look. And it makes you wonder which early 2000s GM vehicles will be “brand new” in another corner of the world in 2030.

TTAC reader and marketing consultant John Charles of Stockholm, Sweden, was gracious enough to send us some more info on investor Mark Bishop, the man who would be king of Saab.

Hi, I read your very interesting piece on Mark Bishop and SAAB. However you (unintentionally, I imagine) missed out a few details. I have found out that Bishop was involved as President of the rather shady Quick Loan Funding. It is understandable that Bishop chooses not to mention his time at QLF in his CV.

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