I know this is The Truth About Cars, not the inside baseball truth about the finance companies that prop-up the domestic automobile manufacturers. Dot com. But we’ve been following this story because, well, if GMAC had gone down, GM would have gone down and GM still makes cars. Well, after the holidays. And the shenanigans involving the federal government’s rescue of GMAC have been nothing less than shameful. First, Uncle Sugar signals GMAC in no uncertain terms that if the bankruptcy-bound lender doesn’t convert 75 percent of their debt into equity they can go ahead and fail. Then, on Christmas Eve, before we learn the results of that d-for-e swap, the Fed says, never mind, you can be a bank. We’ll just use our “emergency” (as opposed to superhero) powers to bend our own rules. And still GMAC doesn’t reveal the success or failure of the swap, claiming they needed time to tabulate the results. And now… we know. Surprise! Not. The Wall Street Journal reports “Struggling finance firm GMAC LLC said Wednesday that bondholders tendered $21.2 billion in notes in its bid to raise capital for its new status as a bank-holding company. The lender’s goal had been to raise $30 billion by converting 75% of its issued debt into preferred stock holdings. The offer expired Friday after having been extended four times.” So they received prior approval AND a $6b federal (that’s your taxes) investment and they STILL missed the legally mandated target by $8.8b. One rule for you, one for former U.S. Treasury Secretary and current Cerberus Chairman John Snow.
Category: News Blog
The Chevy Aveo has been on TTAC’s Ten Worst List since we inaugurated the public service. In 2008, it remains at the top of the steaming pile, garnering a gong at the number three spoty. To quote from this year’s encapsulation: “The Aveo continues to offer a snap-crackle-pop interior, mediocre gas mileage, roly-poly handling and gutless onramp terror.” So how in the world could Detroit News carmudgeon Scott Burgess find anything nice to say about Chevy’s Korean American revolution, never mind a whole column’s worth? Let’s s-s-s-s-sample. “It’s roomy, peppy and comes with more personality than similarly priced competition.” Oh really? Vera, Fit, Yaris? “The hatch helps the Aveo5 stand out. It’s a good look, and it plays multiple utilitarian roles, such as making it extremely easy to park as well as load big things in the back. Few other exterior features add to its looks. It’s not like the designers had a lot of sheet metal to work with.” So… it’s a hatchback. Gotcha. “Chevy upgraded the interior materials, though there is a certain economical feel to this vehicle. Every part of the cabin feels well built, though it’s difficult to know how it will hold up over the long haul.” “Economical feel.” Is that a synonym for horrifically cheap?
Never let it be said that TTAC doesn’t kick a bad idea when it’s down. (It’s the best way to make sure it stays down.) Obviously, it’s no secret that myself and several members of TTAC’s crack (smoking) freelance team consider E85 the biggest boondoggle outside of the Motown meltdown boondoggle. Corn juice for fuel is a fundamentally flawed concept on environmental, energy, practical and even a geo-political basis. But even as the U.S. ethanol customers line-up none deep for their chance to prove that “no one ever died defending a corn field,” even as the ethanol industry continues to block cheap E85 imports from Brazil, even as the major players suck-up to Uncle Sugar to secure a $1b bailout (no really) to stay alive in a business where they already enjoy a .50 a gallon “blender’s credit” and a federal requirement for someone somewhere to use the stuff (a.k.a. the 36b gallon by 2020 Renewable Fuels Standard), they’re shifted gears to open a second front in their war against common sense. AG Week reports that the push for a federal mandate to raise the ethanol content in regular gas from E10 to E15 (and beyond) continues apace.
It won’t be long now: a parody ad of Chrysler’s thank you for your “investment” ad, to join the bailout parody ad and the anti-anti-bailout (i.e. Toyota) viral email. Meanwhile, Chrysler’s still catching heat for spending big bucks on the post-bailout ads in USA Today, The Wall Street Journal, The Atlanta Journal Constitution, online (even TTAC!) and other media. TTAC flagged the obvious waste ogf taxpayer money and condescension on the 23rd, but the MSM have just caught on. Autoblog reports today on Fox News’ Monday report slamming the automaker for the campaign. Their boy Newt’s minion does the dirty. “‘It’s quite ridiculous to be spending that kind of money,’ said Princella Smith, national spokeswoman for American Solutions, an organization headed by former Republican House Speaker Newt Gingrich. ‘Those ads are just a precise example of the fact that they do not get it … and it’s just in our faces.'” So, now how much did they pay? “A full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal runs between $206,000 and $264,000, and a full-page ad in USA Today runs between $112,000 and $217,000.” Wow. Still, $4b buys you a lot of ad space, if not a single class-leading automobile. Oh, and why haven’t MSM picked-up on the fact that the ad’s picture is a fake?
A few months ago, I asked TTAC’s Best and Brightest if I should drive my Mustang in the snow. After very little soul-searching, and very much viewing of Mustangs, Supras, Bimmers and Porsches doing snow donuts on YouTube, the decision practically made itself. So, I had the car anti-rusted and bought a set of Kingstar W411 winters (made by Hankook) on black wheels and off I went, with no extra junk in the trunk (hey – it might ruin the steering). I’ve driven it almost daily; it’s faced Montreal’s harsh winter with gusto. Even during the heaviest storm of the year to date, I had no problem getting around. Obviously, I’m delicate on the throttle and I pay attention to the brakes, lest I lock up the wheels and transform my little pony into a giant, lead sled. One caveat though – freezing rain. One day where we received all manner of precipitation (rain, then freezing rain, then snow) the car got stuck in a parking space in a street the city of Montreal had characteristically forgotten to clear. A little back-and-forth pushin’ and rockin’ while a good samaritan floored the gas and she was soon free, but I almost missed a dinner date. Lesson learned for next time: Bring a shovel and carry traction-aids.
When the clock strikes 12 tonight and the year ends, Americans will most likely have bought 13.1m light vehicles. That according to Erich Merkle of Crowe Horwath LLP, the man everybody seems to turn to when it comes to counting units.
Next year will be much worse.
The first quarter of 2009 will be an atrocity. “Merkle expects that the industry’s seasonally adjusted annual rate will be 10.5 million units, an abysmal rate that would match that of the fourth quarter of 2008,” says Automotive News (sub.)
By summer, Merkle sees the recession coming to its end. “His forecast: an annual sales rate of 11 million units in the first half, and 13.5 million to 14 million units in the second,” says Automotive News. For the coming year, Merkle reckons 12.8m units will sold in the U.S.
Detroit thinks, Merkle is an optimist.
Read More >
For the last time this year, a short overview of what happened in other parts of the world while you were in bed. TTAC provides round-the-clock coverage of everything that has wheels. Or has its wheels coming off. Until Jan 4, 2009, WAS will be filed from Tokyo.
Toyota has the biggest: Bruises and all, Toyota still stands proud. ToMoCo still has “the highest market capitalization among firms listed on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange as of the last trading day of 2008, even though its market value tumbled by more than half in the year,” reports a relieved Nikkei (sub.) The automaker’s market cap is 10.01 trillion yen ($111,110,999,987.77 at today’s rate,) down 54 percent from the end of 2007. The overall market, as measured by the Nikkei Stock Average closed at 8,859 on Tuesday, down 42 percent from a year earlier. GM, Ford, and Chrysler on the other hand – don’t even mention it.
Oregon’s governor Ted Kulongoski is currently getting some flack in our comments section over his pay-per-mile road tax scheme. But this is not the only green-oriented plan Kulongoski is floating, having already confirmed that Nissan will provide EVs for the state fleet in 2010. Another controversial transportation proposal of Kulongoski’s is to replace the $1,500 hybrid tax credit with a $5k credit towards the purchase of an all-electric car. If this plan does go into effect, it will make your Tesla Roadster (or Nissan Better Place-mobile) a little more affordable, just be prepared to have your doors blown off by a Datsun 1200 when you hit the road. Check out Oregon Field Guide’s visit with White Zombie, the zero-emissions ass kicker you never saw coming.
Automotive News [sub] reports that, thanks to you the taxpayer, GM is offering 0 percent financing through Monday, Jan. 5, on the discontinued Chevrolet TrailBlazer, GMC Envoy and Saab 9-7X, 9-3 and 9-5. “We’ve been trying to hold onto market share with one arm tied behind our back,” says GM Marketing individual Mark LaNeve. “Any tool they can get to make credit available and put deals together is a good thing.” Especially when taxpayers pick up the bill. But Mr LaNeve, what do you say to critics who argue that artificially low rates and subprime lending is what got this country and your firm into trouble in the first place? “Six hundred twenty (FICO) is not a subprime score,” argues LaNeve. “That’s a very creditworthy buyer. Hopefully, we’ll have access to more of the market that is out there.” Meanwhile, Saab dealers aren’t exactly thrilling over the decision. “We need product, and we need a clear decision made” on Saab’s future, one Saab dealer tells AN. Either “we’re going to continue to be a part of General Motors’ family, or we have a buyer lined up, and here’s the buyer.” And though that decision doesn’t seem to be immediately forthcoming, at least everyone can pretend like it’s the nineties for another week. Trailblazer at zero percent interest? If that doesn’t get the nostalgia flowing, I don’t know what will.
Shortly after receiving its second bailout of the month (first Chrysler, then GMAC), Cerberus Capital Management announced that it is limiting investor redemptions. Finalternatives reports that Cerberus recently notified investors that gate provisions on its Cerberus Partners hedge fund were triggered after clients sought to withdraw more than 16.5% of the fund’s assets. Investors will be allowed to withdraw one-fifth of their year-end redemptions, and Cerberus is magnanimously waiving 60 percent of its incentive fee for one year after it recoups losses. Cerberus lost over 18 percent in October and November alone, and its Chrysler investment is likely a total loss. “This is a very hard decision for us, and the realization that taking these steps is now necessary is deeply disappointing,” says Cerberus top dog Stephen Feinberg.
So opens a guest commentary by Ira Lacher in today’s Des Moines Register. And if you believe the Detroit line, you might assume this voice from the middle American heartland would answer in the affirmative. You’d be wrong. Lacher describes his impression of American cars as being “designed and put together by committee – a bunch of parts cobbled together. The steering wheel felt as if it were just sticking out of the dashboard. The gas and brake pedals seemed mere appendages to the floor. The seats were uncomfortable frames covered with cheap cloth. This wasn’t a car; it was a homemade personal computer! By contrast, every rented Honda, Toyota, Mazda and Nissan seemed like a machine that functioned like one machine.” But when he recently purchased a Hyundai, Lacher clearly felt at least a few pangs of guilt.
From the “there but for the grace of god go I” file comes the story of one GMAC debtor who can’t catch a break from the company that is catching breaks left and right. The New York Daily News profiles the plight of Chastity Strawder, an unemployed schoolteacher who is falling behind on lease payments for her Pontiac G6. Having leased two G6s (after all the usual credit checks), Strawder developed health problems and lost her job. Now falling behind on lease payments, Strawder is being treated to a series of angry phone calls from GMAC who want their freaking money, man. And Strawder seems to believe that since she and GMAC are in the same boat (“can’t make ends meet”), they might treat her with the same generosity that she (as a taxpayer) is showing them. Apparently not. $6b of public funding or not, GMAC is still in it for GMAC. Or is that Cerberus? Either way, the moral of the story is that bailouts won’t weaken the world’s most powerful force: compound interest.
Automotive News [sub] reports that GM is claiming to have 10k pre-orders for its neo-pony car. Too bad they might not arrive on time. Still, that’s about 5k commitments per year of relentless hype. Not too shabby.
When Toyota told the world that it didn’t want to see any of its American competitors go bankrupt, they meant it. And not purely out of fear of an anti-import backlash either. Toyota’s North American operations rely on many of the same suppliers as Detroit, and if GM were to go bankrupt, many of those suppliers could go under. This is especially dangerous for Toyota with its “just-in-time” production techniques, which is why contingency planning is underway at Toyota City to keep ToMoCo’s supply chain independently solvent. But as Bloomberg reports, that very contingency planning could eliminate the efficiency gains of the Toyota system, once dubbed “The Machine That Changed The World.” The lean, “just-in-time” system was developed on the model of American supermarkets, with components arriving as they are needed for the production process, rather than being mass-produced and stored until needed. Emergency planning includes possibly building up component inventories, which strikes at the heart of the “just-in-time” system’s competitive advantage. Still, a supplier bankruptcy would wreak even more havoc, holding up production lines until more parts arrive. The Japanese automakers have recently learned firsthand of the cost of supply disruption, especially among specialized (tier two and three) component makers. Last July, piston-ring maker Riken’s shut-down due to earthquake damaged forced eight of Japan’s 12 carmakers to temporarily suspend or cut manufacturing, leading to a total output reduction of at least 120,000 vehicles.
Recent Comments