Here’s a crazy idea. Instead of relying on a bunch of politicians with little to no business experience to sort out GM’s problems, let’s find out what someone who actually turns around failing companies for a living would do. How about, say, William Ackman of Pershing Square Capital? After all, his Fannie/Freddie restructuring ideas seemed pretty well put-together. What say you, Mr Ackman? “GM should be allowed to succeed, and the only way GM can succeed is if it has a balance sheet its business can support,” Ackman tells Reuters. He goes on to say that he would expect GM to get to that position by agreeing to a “prepackaged bankruptcy in which GM’s creditors erase large amounts of liabilities in exchange for equity in the newly restructured GM.” Should a newly restructured GM still need more liquidity for its balance sheet, “then the government can play an important role while protecting taxpayers from losing money.” This, in a nutshell, is why Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson refused to let GM into his TARP. Unless GM massively corrects its balance sheet blues, any federal loans will just be so much good money thrown after bad. Restructuring means jobs will be lost, but if the alternative is subsidizing jobs for their own sakes, then we’ve reached an impasse. Now, all GM and the UAW need to do is stop worrying and learn to love the bankruptcy court.
Category: News Blog
I signaled to the engine room to increase power as I hefted the helm over to full starboard to clear the iceberg curb. Just like the ill-fated Titanic, I failed; however, unlike the ill-fated luxury liner, my interstate bound ship of dreams shrugged off the concrete obstacle with only a slight disturbance of the ever present floating waft. Never had I piloted a vehicle so large and vast feeling as my Avocado Green Metallic 1967 Imperial, made by Chrysler. At 224in long, and over 5600lbs of pure American uni-bodied steel, puts the similar sized Hummer H2 to shame in its ability to show of its largess. At least the Hummer has a modicum of efficient design, not so the Imperial, one of the shining examples of the de facto “Detroit Schoolhouse of Design.”
Dear Mr. Mulally, Mr. Wagoner and Mr. Nardelli:
I understand that your company has been lobbying the Department of Treasury and congressional leaders for additional financial assistance via loans or through inclusion in the Troubled Asset Relief Program. While I understand the economic turmoil that many American businesses face today, I think it’s appropriate to ask those who seek a bailout from the federal government to do everything they can to first cut internal expenditures, including and especially executive salaries and compensation packages.
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According to the AP, “Toyota Motor Corp. said Friday that for now it is sticking with plans to open its new Mississippi plant in 2010 despite media reports that Japan’s top automaker is mulling a delay.” Mississippi was originally supposed to get Highlander production.. Those plans ran aground on $4 a gallon gas. In a fit of hybrid mania, Toyota Mississippi jumped off the Highlander horse and onto the Prius this past July… just in time to see crude oil prices peak and roll over. Remember all that talk of building a Scion-like separate Prius brand? You have to think that plan is on hold. “Earlier this month, Toyota said its net profit for the July-September quarter plunged 69 percent. The car maker also downgraded its full-year profit forecast to 550 billion yen ($5.5 billion) — about a third of last year’s result. Executive Vice President Mitsuo Kinoshita said after the earnings release that the company had convened an ‘Emergency Profit Improvement Committee’ to cut costs and maximize revenues. Toyota is also assessing its manufacturing operations by ‘re-examining aspects such as the timing and scale of new projects.'”
Quick, what do egregious bailouts have in common with the invasion of Iraq? Sticklers for a little-known concept called “international law” aren’t fans of either. And this time they could actually sue. “We will look very carefully at the details of the proposed aid package to the U.S. auto industry, in order to ensure compliance with international trade rules and assess the potential impact which it may have on trading partners,” Peter Power, trade spokesman for the European Commission told CNN yesterday. The World Trade Organization prohibits a range of subsidies that unfairly hurt competitors, and with pro-bailout rhetoric hitting new heights in “whatever it takes” shrillness, there’s a chance that good intentions will translate into a WTO lawsuit. After all, Europe and the US are already beefing over a number of trade issues, from aerospace subsidies to agriculture. In fact, it’s possible that Bush’s resistance to bailout plans is a result of his humiliating retreat from steel-industry protectionism some five years ago. Then, as now, a struggling industry needed his help, and help he did. Until the EU threatened $2.2b in retaliatory economic sanctions. Sue me once, shame on you…
Yesterday, I had a long conversation with Chris Isidore, CNNMoney scribe. Somewhere in the middle of our rhetorical hockey match, Chris threw down the gloves. “There are a lot of people who hate Detroit,” he said. “They want to see it crash and burn.” I was flabbergasted. As I’ve mentioned here previously, I reckon that the percentage of people who “hate” Motown is relatively small, limited to eco-warriors and people who were treated like shit by D2.8 dealers. It certainly doesn’t apply to me. I hate hypocrisy and bureaucracy bungling. But I have always wanted to see healthy, vital and yes, America-owned automobile manufacturers. Painting the anti-bailout brigade as a bunch of “Detroit haters” is unfair and inflammatory. (Isidore’s own CNNMoney has a particularly egregious example on display this morning.) As TTAC’s Best and Brightest have said time and time again, you can be anti-bailout AND pro-Detroit. I call on my journalist colleagues to consider ALL the possibilities in their coverage. After all, it’s their audience’s money. OK, back to work…
Scientists all over the world are in a mad scramble to find a vaccine against the vehicular flu, commonly called “motor malaise.” Now, Europe also finds itself in the grips of the pandemic. Today (Farago beat me to it), the European association of auto makers ACEA released their January through October numbers. Analysts from the automotive anorexia formerly known as America may envy the fact that from January to October, Europe (as defined by ACEA) fell only 5.4 percent to 12.852m units. Taking a closer look, we now know why the EU was so eager to enlarge eastwards. In the new easterly member states, there was at least an ittsy bit of growth, 2.5 percent for the first 10 months. Without the eastern comrades– make that members– the EU would be looking at an even heftier percentage-letting. Have a Maalox, or a stiff drink, and read on, if you dare ….
Editor’s note: Comments on this story have been temporarily disabled. No, not our story. The Detroit Free Press article revealing that “Chrysler is in the awkward position of paying about $30 million in retention bonuses to keep top executives while the company cuts thousands of jobs.” Yeah, don’t you hate it when that happens? The Freep immediately counters with the ameliorating fact (not) that “Chrysler owes the bonuses under its contracts with about 50 executives, based on a retention incentive plan crafted early last year by former German parent DaimlerChrysler, when it was preparing to sell the Chrysler unit.” Ohhhh, so that’s alright then. Well, not with Freep readers, who’ve jammed the e-switchboard. Either that or the Freep can’t delete the flamers fast enough. Or they simply don’t want to allow their readers to express their outrage, for reasons that we can only guess (cough advertising cough). Anyway, damage control! “Nancy Rae, Chrysler executive vice president for human resources and communications, said the move made sense at the time to ensure potential buyers that key Chrysler executives would remain in place after a sale. She acknowledged that the bonuses could be seen as controversial now.” Yeah, no shit. Anyway, let’s name some names, shall we?
Another day, another hysterical headline demonizing the automobile. This one arrives to us thanks to a study from California State University [via the SF Examiner]. Now, I’m no epidemiologist, nor do I play one in the autoblogosphere. But whenever I see the media glom onto research that promotes a particular political agenda, I want to see the methodology. (Hell, even if a study doesn’t become the darling of a crusade, I still want to see the methodology.) OK, so, “Hall and colleague Victor Brajer analyzed ozone and fine particulate concentrations across the two [most pollluted] basins in five-by-five kilometer grids from 2005 through 2007. The researchers applied those numbers to the health affects they are known to cause, then assigned peer-reviewed economic values to each illness or death that could result.” Fair enough. And then… “To illustrate its point, the study noted that the California Highway Patrol recorded 2,521 vehicular deaths in the San Joaquin Valley and South Coast Air Basin in 2006, compared to 3,812 deaths attributed to respiratory illness caused by particulate pollution.” See? Now who asked them to do that?
Can you believe that GM used to claim that their foreign ops would prop-up the sinking North American market while they got their shit together? I mean, these are the same guys that were busy touting the advantages of a world car. Anyone who doubted that it’s a small world after all should have a gander at October sales stats across the pond [via Bloomberg UK]. “Registrations dropped to 1.13 million vehicles last month from 1.33 million a year earlier, the Brussels-based European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association said today in a statement. Sales for the first 10 months fell 5.4 percent to 12.8 million vehicles, accelerating from a 4.4 percent contraction through September.” And who got whacked the hardest? “GM’s sales in Europe fell 25 percent to 94,479 vehicles, with the Saab brand reporting a 28 percent plunge… Registrations in Europe by Toyota slumped 24 percent to 54,612 cars. Asia’s largest carmaker, leading GM in global auto sales this year, posted a 69 percent plunge in quarterly net income on Nov. 6. Deliveries of its Lexus brand fell 32 percent.” So, that’s the mass market, then. How about the top end?
Yesterday, we reported that the European Commission threatened to drag Germany in front of the European High Court again– if Germany dares to pass a revamped Volkswagen Gesetz (VW Law.) Yesterday evening, the German parliament flipped a whole aviary worth of birds in the direction of Brussels, and passed the face-lifted law with an overwhelming majority. Result for the time being: VeeDub’s soon majority-owner Porsche will have to kowtow to the state of Lower Saxony, owner of a paltry 20.1 percent of the shares. Porsche must ask for their OK on major issues. On one issue, Porsche doesn’t even need to ask. Lower Saxony will say “nein, nein, nein” to Porsche booking VW’s profits as theirs. Und now European Trade Commissar Charlie McCreevy will file papers “before Christmas,” and the contemptuous Bundesrepublik Deutschland will face the judges of the European High Court. Again. The court will rule (anybody guess how?) Germany will have to implement the wishes of the court again (anybody guess whether they will?) The never-ending saga continues. In the meantime…
Commodities markets are on an even wilder roller-coaster ride than the stock market and crude oil is leading the retreat. The AP reports that Thursday’s hit of inter-day low of $54.67 / barrel and closed at $58.24. That there is almost 2/3rds down from the summer’s near $150 peak. TFC Commodity Charts publishes a dandy oil price graphic ,while the EIA puts detailed gasoline price histories online. Unfortunately for conspiracy theorists, gasoline prices have tracked crude oil prices very well in recent weeks. The national average for regular fuel for the week ending November 10th was $2.17; broadly consistent with January 2007 when crude oil was last in the $55-$60 range. Interestingly for whichever automakers stay in business is the little reported fact that steel, copper and other raw material costs have plunged even more rapidly than crude oil. Copper, for example, is falling through the floor.
“A leading Democrat, Senate Banking Chairman Christopher Dodd of Connecticut, said he knows of no Republicans who would vote for a $25 billion auto rescue package. He added he was ‘not inclined’ to move a bill without bipartisan support, pointing out that prominent Republicans have publicly opposed the measure.” And there you have it, via The Wall Street Journal. Then again, maybe not. We know from Dodd’s profession (politician) and his connections to the mortgage industry (which his committee oversees) that the Senator’s “inclinations” are not inviolate. So perhaps the fact that House Minority Leader John Boehner called the bailout ‘neither fair to taxpayers nor sound fiscal policy’ is more germane. That’s rep Boehner of Ohio folks. “And what assurances will Democrats give taxpayers about their chances of getting their auto bailout money back?” Boehner asks in a prepared statement. While I’d like to think that the republicans have had a sudden bout of common sense and rededicated themselves to fiscal responsibility, this sounds like nothing more than pre-horse-trading political posturing to me.

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