Posts By: Bertel Schmitt

By on November 25, 2008

If you think about flying to Stuttgart tomorrow, better book now. It will be a full house tomorrow at Porsche’s annual “Bilanzpressekonferenz.” The presentation of annual numbers to the press. At this confab, the information-hungry media will be fed with finger food and glossy brochures, drowned in champagne and a sea of PowerPoint charts. Why would anyone be interested in a small maker of sports cars that was nearly bankrupt when Wendelin Wiedeking took over? How did P.J.O’Rourke put it so nicely? “In the gutter in front of the razed crack houses was a brand-new Porsche 928 flipped on its back and wadded like Kleenex.”

That was then, this is now. Now, Wiedeking promises to reveal his timetable for the takeover of Volkswagen. “Waitaminute,” I hear you say. “Don’t they own VeeDub already?”

Not exactly. Currently, Porsche holds 42.6 percent of the common stock of Volkswagen. It is also written that Porsche owns 31.5 percent in VW options, strike price and time to expiration unknown. Will Wiedeking say tomorrow when they’ll finally go for the whole shebang? We doubt it. Will they go over 50 percent this year, as planned? Will they go to 75 percent soon as rumored? We believe, Wiedeking will keep everybody guessing. Despite the fact that Porsche is rolling in money, they are Swabian. And then …

By on November 25, 2008

Good morning! While America Slept (WAS) is a daily round-up of the news that happened in other continents and time-zones. TTAC provides round-the-clock coverage of everything that has wheels. Or that has its wheels coming off. This is Odd-Tuesday: All quiet internationally on the GM front. What’s going on? Stop press: We take it back.

Porsche meets the press: Tomorrow, Wednesday, Über-Porsche Wendelin Wiedeking will present Porsche’s annual report to the press (an annual ritual followed by all important German companies, and usually an excess of euphemisms.) Apart from reporting about Porsche (“we’re doing great!”) “information about future plans regarding the take-over of Volkswagen” will be offered, says Automobilwoche (sub.) We’ll keep you posted.

BMW axes 8600 jobs: Sad faces at the Beemer plants. BMW has cut more jobs than planned in their austerity program dubbed “Number One” (probably in reference to the P.O. workers.) 8600 jobs axed. Only one shift running in their Leipzig plant, all “temporary workers” gone. Automobilwoche (sub) has more.

GM goes begging, even in Poland. GM is on a begging tour through Europe. “Informal approaches” are being made to governments in Poland, Belgium, Spain and the UK, Automotive News Europe (sub) has learned. Before, GM approached Germany, for €40b, was called names in Berlin, reduced their request to less, got something in Hessen, then said they don’t mean it. Germany is a state of confusion as far as GM goes. There have been contacts between GM and the UK government, even the government of Sweden, former home of Saab was approached. But begging Poland? A land with a GDP of $552b, less than the $700b tarp? There are places in Poland where they don’t have the money to put lights on the Christmas tree. Bad taste, GM, bad taste. Or just plain old ignorance?

Pocket Roller for pocket change: In 2006, UK’s Manganese Bronze Holdings struck a $100m deal with Chinese Geely to continue producing the renowned London taxi TX4. They did. And now, Geely wants to use the platform for what Gasgoo calls “a small Rolls-Royce.” Positioned at lesser-heeled people who eye the premium BMW / Mercedes-Benz models, the luxury Geely sedan is expected to sell in the neighborhood of $44k when it comes to market by 2011. There is …

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By on November 24, 2008

Take that, you (formerly) capitalist running dogs: At the Guangzhou auto show, British German luxury car maker Bentley said that the VW-owned brand plans to sell more Bentleys in China than in the US. They said it to Guangzhou Daily (via Gasgoo.) Bentley’s conservative goal is to do this by 2012, but at the rate everything is going (and soon walking,) they’ll be done with that much earlier. With 10% of Bentley’s global sales, China already is the world’s fifth largest market for Bentley. In 2008, China is expected to surpass Japan in terms of Bentleys sold, making the Middle Kingdom king of Asian Bentley sales. Next stop: Trump the UK and the US, rule the world. In Bentley terms.

On display at the Guangzhou show is the Bentley Arnage RL, Bentley’s bestseller in China. For four straight years, no country consumed more Arnages than China. Also to be seen: The Continental GT, Continental GTC and Continental Flying Spur. What’s the world coming to. Niedermeyer putters along with a golf cart, China soaks up Flying Spurs.

By on November 24, 2008

Spyshot photographers of the world: Look for another target. Today, Porsche released the definitive official pictures of their 4-door sportssedan Panamera. (Thank you, Automobilwoche.) The first Porsche with a decent rear bench (ignoring the Cayenne for a while) will be physically present in spring, and shall go on sale throughout the world by the end of Summer 2009. It will be hard to overlook: 16 feet 4 inches long, and six foot four wide, the Panamera will be nearly 2 feet longer than 911, even the S-Class is 2 inches slimmer around the waist. For motors, there will be six and eight bangers, ranging from 300 to 500 horses. No true Porsche driver would touch an automatic. The engine of the Panamara is mated to six gears, operated by a stick. Dual clutch with 7 gears optional. The power goes to the rear wheels, all wheels drive optional. A green-sheened hybrid is “in the works.” Something Porsche may want to hide:  The body of the Panamera is welded in VeeDub’s truck plant in Hannover, final assembly takes place in Porsche’s plant in Leipzig. More official details as they become available.

By on November 24, 2008

He’s had it coming. Our Dear Leader finally received what he deserved: A vacation. With wife and kids, Farago goes to Disney World. Or Disney Land. Anyway, one of those Mickey Mouse metros. While our Dear Leader is away, our beloved Edward Niedermeyer is running the show at TTAC. 16 timezones away in Beijing, Ed is being assisted by yours truly. Which works out just fine: BS has the morning shift, then, Mr. Ed takes over and runs two shifts. Keep in mind, Ed is an Oregonian (sounds kinky.) Please indulge him, and grant him the extra three hours of sleep the Westcoasties deserve. If there’s a little less of the usual morning barrage of posts, do not despair. Ed will make up for it during the day and night.

Also of note: Our web servers are still acting up, sick from the China Syndrome. View counters won’t be back until “after Thanksgiving,” our resident Otaku promised. The site sometimes can be slow to react to your comments. Don’t worry, don’t double post: The comments will show up – after a (sometime excruciatingly long) wait. Same goes for Farago: He’ll be back. Then, there will be hell to pay.

By on November 24, 2008

Gadzillions of Citibank customers worldwide (the writer of these lines included) were sweating through the weekend, popping Valium, worried that their sleepless bank may go to eternal rest. Then, relief: Citi was bailed out. No hearing, no fuss, $326b total, Wagoner, eat your heart out. But wait: moiré dark clouds on the horizon: “The foundering Detroit automakers owe more than $100 billion to their bankers and bondholders, and Wall Street is starting to wonder how much of that will be paid back,” writes the New York Times. And wait, there is even more exposure, namely to “to automotive suppliers and dealers.”

A lot of the debt is in the way of bonds that have been foisted on hapless 401K holders that had ticked the “conservative” investment goal on their profile. These bonds are now depreciating faster than the junk produced in Detroit. If you have the stomach for it, you can buy GM’s 8.375 percent bonds due in July 2033 for 17 cents on the dollar. Even a Mike Milken wouldn’t have the guts. Flashback: At Milken’s sentencing, Judge Kimba Wood told Milken: “When a man of your power in the financial world repeatedly conspires to violate, and violates, securities and tax business in order to achieve more power and wealth for himself, a significant prison term is required.” This country’s legal system is based on case law, and quite possibly, Kimba’s sentence before the sentence may come up again. This time, for milken tax payers, retirees, and banks alike. Speaking of banks …

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By on November 24, 2008

Hey, it’s Monday! Time to get back to work (if only to check that there still is a job.) Get a hustle on, most of the world got up much earlier. While America Slept (WAS) is a daily round-up of the news that happened in other continents and time-zones. TTAC provides round-the-clock coverage of everything that has wheels. Or that has its wheels coming off.

What are they smoking? To convince Congress that they mean action, GM wants to negotiate a cut in debt levels, wants to ask the UAW whether it’s ok to delay a $7 billion payment to a union retiree health fund, GM wants to drop brands, and get more funding from GMAC, Bloomberg reports. All that done before a “10-12 page report” will be submitted by 12/2? Don’t bogart that joint …

How to make a lot of money: Buy GM’s GM’s 8.375 percent bonds due in July 2033. Last Friday, that bond went for 17 cents on the dollar, Bloomberg writes, citing a report of Trace, the bond-price reporting system of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. The bond with a rating lower than most GM cars will yield you 49 percent interest, and you can retire worry-free. Or not.

Chery pickins: China’s home-grown (non JV) Chery will expand up and down, Gasgoo says. On the up, they will continue their partnership with US-based Quantum LLC. Intent: A high-end brand for the export market. On the down, they will launch a low-end brand called “Karry.” Already, your basic Chery QQ3 can be bought for $4K in China. How low can you go?
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By on November 23, 2008

Last week, Oregon Governor Ted Kulongoski clinched a deal to bring Nissan’s pure-electric cars to his state. Then, he went on to Shenzen, China. “At BYD Auto Co., China’s fast-growing automotive star, a plug-in electric hybrid sedan is just weeks from meeting millions of Chinese consumers” writes the Oregonian. “The F3DM, which runs up to 80 miles on a single charge and packs a 7-gallon tank, will probably launch in the United States by 2010.” The Governor wants it to be built in Oregon. On Friday, he met with BYD President Wang Chuanfu. On a 10-day business trip through Asia, Kulongoski had laid out his vision to automakers in Japan and China: Electric charging stations every 60 miles along interstates. Tax incentives for Oregonians to buy electric cars. Tax bonuses for drivers to build car chargers in their garages. And, unspoken, but you can bet on it: generous incentives for those who bring their factories to Oregon. Then, Kulongoski has guanxi, connections, indispensable for a successful Chinese deal…

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By on November 23, 2008

My first American girlfriend’s mother, a Manhattan slumlord, read the Kiplinger Letter. She drove a Ford. My American (former) mother-in-law (different person) read the Kiplinger Letter. She drove a Ford. Kiplinger’s paid circulation is a million; their website receives more unique visits than even TTAC, about 2m a month. When Kiplinger writes, America listens. And what’s on Kiplinger’s mind these days? “Should you buy a Detroit car?” Not a general question. They mean now, considering the dire circumstances. Kiplinger asks the question that is on the mind of the remaining 48.2 percent of Americans that still buy true blue American: “What are the risks of buying a vehicle from a carmaker that’s on the brink?”

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By on November 23, 2008

The story about the defiled Lambo triggered a lively discussion about cars, hentai, anime, and otaku. Even about cosplay bars in Tokyo’s Akihabara (I’ve seen them all, boring.) Obviously, we had heretofore neglected a topic of high interest amongst our readership. In preparation for an even bigger role of Japanese transplants in the U.S., here some cross-cultural sensitivity training.

By on November 23, 2008

Never on Sunday? Not so at TTAC, a 24/7/365 world-class operation. While America Slept (WAS) is a daily round-up of the news that happened in other continents and time-zones. TTAC provides round-the-clock coverage of everything that has wheels. Or that has its wheels coming off.  Disclosure: Mostly bad news today.

Let’s get small: VeeDub doesn’t want to leave the cars-for-lilliputians segment to the Smart 42, or the Toyota iQ. Based on a chopped version of their upcoming (2010) VW Up, Wolfsburg wants to launch a fuel-sipping 2seater. Target is 2 liter per 100km (118 MPG.) Unconfirmed rumor as per Automobilwoche (sub.)  The oil-burning Smart ForTwo gets 71 MPG.

Let’s get cheap: Fiat plans low cost cars for the European market. Under a separate brand, says Automobilwoche (sub.) Fiat Group CEO Sergio Marchionne says he wants to be the “Wal-Mart for cars.”  Chinese imports, anyone?  “Ma no!” says FIAT. Together with their Brazilian subsidiary FIASA, FIAT works on two el cheapo cars under codenames Project 326 und 327. Then there’s another one of unknown provenance.

Nothing sacred anymore at Daimler: According to Daimler’s hometown paper Stuttgarter Zeitung, “all investments which don’t add to efficiencies and competitiveness are cancelled.” Travel, overtime, outsourcing, everything needs to be cut. The whole company is under review. Grim sales numbers. Even the green may see pruning: Investments in plug-ins, hybrids and fuel cell may get chopped. More bad news to follow …

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By on November 22, 2008

Since its heyday beginnings, Wired has suffered from what my (Japanese) wife characterizes as “yellow fever:” A fetish for Japanese women. Wired’s repeat offender “Japanese Schoolgirl Watch” is legend. Actually, Japanese schoolgirls are not much to look at, unless you are a pedophile and have a yen for plaid skirts and bobby socks. How does a lowly Lambo Gallardo get into Wired? It must look like a Manhattan subway car that was attacked by spray-can-wielding Japanese schoolgirls. This $>200K Gallardo belongs Japanese Age-Soft’s CEO Yoshida. He made the money to acquire the Lambo (and other likewise tagged wheels) with hentai videogames. “Hentai” means “pervert” in Japanese, but according to my wife (bless her heart) in Japan, that can be an honorific. Painting cars with manga characters is a new and somewhat itai (painful) Japanese fad. [Again, Autoblog gets it wrong. They write “In Japan, Otaku are the rabid fans of anime.” No true. Otaku is Japanese for geek. Ota-ku is also a ward in the south of Tokyo. Go figure.]

By on November 22, 2008

There may be another nasty aspect to the bailout: a full-scale trade war, launched by countries that don’t (or even do) bail out their auto industries themselves. Bloomberg writes that “a U.S.-triggered spate of global carmaker-bailout proposals may spark trade disputes over whether the Americans are unfairly trying to subsidize their industry.” Egged-on by the US bailout money that may, or may not, or may, or may not be in the offing, manufacturers all over the globe are holding up their tin cups. At the same time, the European Union threatens to lodge a complaint against any U.S. bailout on the grounds that it’s unfair to the auto makers in the rest of the world, not to mention Renault, Fiat, Volkswagen, Daimler, BMW et al. China also may complain, although their complaints will ring a bit hollow, as the government owns most of the big automakers already. Probably won’t stop them. “Now that we are in the WTO, we might as well use it.” Payback is a bitch.

By on November 22, 2008

Even over the weekend,  TTAC never sleeps. While America Slept (WAS) is a daily round-up of the news that happened in other continents and time-zones. TTAC provides round-the-clock coverage of everything that has wheels. Or that has its wheels coming off.  Guarantee: Contents 100 percent car related (well, except for one.)

Opel: “We’re doing great.” GM should send Opel Chief Demant to DC. He knows when to say the right things: “All jobs are safe “(at least until 2010.) “We’ve got enough cash” (at least until next year.) “GM doesn’t owe us money” (at least not immediately.) “We don’t need a loan guarantee” (we didn’t really mean it.)  Germany’s government is now a) a bit miffed because they thought it was urgent, b) relieved because they can go Christmas shopping with the money saved.  Automobilwoche (sub) has the story.

Germany goes to the polls over Opel: Wary of wearing Opel’s new rose-colored glasses, Automobilwoche (sub) is running a poll. The question: “What should happen to Opel?” Here’s the tally so far.  “Opel goes it alone” – 50 percent. “Opel remains part of GM” – 15  percent. “Opel merges with BMW” – 15 percent. “Opel merges with Fiat” – 13 percent. “Opel merges with Daimler” – 7 percent. Don’t blame us, just reporting the news.

Just say no: Bernhard Mattes, chief of Ford Motor Co.’s German unit, would also make quick friends in DC. He says that Ford Deutschland can survive just fine, thank you, without a bailout from the German government, AP reports via Yahoo. Ford wouldn’t turn down a share of the loan package by the European Union, if offered. The consensus in Europe is the package is dead in the water, because it needs the consensus from the non auto making members. Dream on. And read on …

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By on November 21, 2008

Seeking Alpha prides itself “the premier financial website for actionable stock market opinion and analysis.” When it comes to what should happen with GM, they are on our side: “Buyout better than bailout,” writes Seeking Alpha. Roger that. We have been picking-up indications that Chinese automakers SAIC and Dongfeng may have plans to buy assets of GM (and while they are at it, maybe even of Chrysler). China would get what it badly needs for its thriving domestic car industry to become an even more thriving international car industry: accepted brands, a worldwide distribution network and know-how necessary to comply with US and worldwide standards. Apparently, private equity firms are keen to aid this “transfer.” Behind all of this (of course) stands the Chinese government. The People’s Republic owns most of automakers SAIC and Dongfeng, along with a good chunk of the private equity firm Blackstone, a good chunk of Morgan, and a good chunk of T-bills (to the tune of $585b).

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